Market icon

Will 'The Marvels' flop?

Market icon

Will 'The Marvels' flop?

0% chance
Polymarket

$40,336 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$40,336 Vol.

In this market, a "Flop" is defined as 'The Marvels' earning less than its $220m budget (as reported by Forbes in September 2023). The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10676048/ will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "To Date" column. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Marvels' grosses less than $220,000,000 domestically through December 31, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any finalized numbers in the "To Date" column (for dates December 31, 2023 and before) show a value of $220 million or more, this market will resolve immediately to "No". This market may only resolve to "Yes" once the December 31, 2023 "To Date" number is finalized, or if December 31, 2023 date remains unavailable, another credible source will be chosen to resolve the market.

In this market, a "Flop" is defined as 'The Marvels' earning less than its $220m budget (as reported by Forbes in September 2023). The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10676048/ will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "To Date" column. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Marvels' grosses less than $220,000,000 domestically through December 31, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any finalized numbers in the "To Date" column (for dates December 31, 2023 and before) show a value of $220 million or more, this market will resolve immediately to "No". This market may only resolve to "Yes" once the December 31, 2023 "To Date" number is finalized, or if December 31, 2023 date remains unavailable, another credible source will be chosen to resolve the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will 'The Marvels' flop?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will 'The Marvels' flop?" has generated $40.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 25, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will 'The Marvels' flop?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will 'The Marvels' flop?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will 'The Marvels' flop?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.