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icon for O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?

O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?

icon for O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?

O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?

$12,837 Vol.

31 jul 2026
Polymarket

$12,837 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5,00

$645 Vol.

Não

↑ $4,50

$1,194 Vol.

Não

↑ $4,25

$3,267 Vol.

Não

↑ $4,00

$411 Vol.

Sim

↑ $3,90

$811 Vol.

Sim

↓ $3,70

$701 Vol.

Não

↓ $3,60

$657 Vol.

Não

↓ $3,50

$2,291 Vol.

Não

↓ $3,25

$686 Vol.

Não

↓ $3,00

$1,110 Vol.

Não

↓ $2,50

$1,063 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures for July 2026 closed near $3.23/MMBtu amid abundant supplies, with U.S. working gas inventories ending June 6% above the five-year average and production reaching record levels near 111 Bcf/d. Elevated storage, mild summer weather curbing power-sector demand, and steady LNG export flows around 18 Bcf/d capped upside despite rising consumption from data centers and industry, keeping Henry Hub prices in a $3.20–$3.50 range with technical resistance near $3.40. EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects a 2026 average near $3.60/MMBtu, reflecting a well-supplied balance that has weighed on near-term sentiment. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA storage reports and any shifts in heat-driven demand or production disruptions that could alter the inventory surplus heading into fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$12,837
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas futures for July 2026 closed near $3.23/MMBtu amid abundant supplies, with U.S. working gas inventories ending June 6% above the five-year average and production reaching record levels near 111 Bcf/d. Elevated storage, mild summer weather curbing power-sector demand, and steady LNG export flows around 18 Bcf/d capped upside despite rising consumption from data centers and industry, keeping Henry Hub prices in a $3.20–$3.50 range with technical resistance near $3.40. EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects a 2026 average near $3.60/MMBtu, reflecting a well-supplied balance that has weighed on near-term sentiment. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA storage reports and any shifts in heat-driven demand or production disruptions that could alter the inventory surplus heading into fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$12,837
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $4,00" at 100%, followed by "↑ $3,90" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?" has generated $12.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?" is "↑ $4,00" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $3,90" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O gás atingirá __ até o final de julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.