Apple's ongoing efforts to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese maker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) face significant regulatory and geopolitical hurdles that support the 64% market-implied probability against purchases occurring in 2026. CXMT remains on the Pentagon's list of Chinese military companies, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for clearance amid a tight global memory supply driven by AI demand. While Apple has begun testing CXMT chips for China-market devices and held preliminary talks, no agreements are finalized, and broader U.S. approval remains uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include any White House or Commerce Department decisions on export controls or entity-list restrictions that could either enable limited sourcing or block progress entirely before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Apple comprará chips de memória CXMT em 2026?
A Apple comprará chips de memória CXMT em 2026?
Sim
36% chance
$14,466 Vol.
$14,466 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
36% chance
$14,466 Vol.
$14,466 Vol.
31 dez 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple's ongoing efforts to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese maker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) face significant regulatory and geopolitical hurdles that support the 64% market-implied probability against purchases occurring in 2026. CXMT remains on the Pentagon's list of Chinese military companies, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for clearance amid a tight global memory supply driven by AI demand. While Apple has begun testing CXMT chips for China-market devices and held preliminary talks, no agreements are finalized, and broader U.S. approval remains uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include any White House or Commerce Department decisions on export controls or entity-list restrictions that could either enable limited sourcing or block progress entirely before year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Volume
$14,466Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple's ongoing efforts to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese maker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) face significant regulatory and geopolitical hurdles that support the 64% market-implied probability against purchases occurring in 2026. CXMT remains on the Pentagon's list of Chinese military companies, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for clearance amid a tight global memory supply driven by AI demand. While Apple has begun testing CXMT chips for China-market devices and held preliminary talks, no agreements are finalized, and broader U.S. approval remains uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include any White House or Commerce Department decisions on export controls or entity-list restrictions that could either enable limited sourcing or block progress entirely before year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$14,466Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's ongoing efforts to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese maker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) face significant regulatory and geopolitical hurdles that support the 64% market-implied probability against purchases occurring in 2026. CXMT remains on the Pentagon's list of Chinese military companies, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for clearance amid a tight global memory supply driven by AI demand. While Apple has begun testing CXMT chips for China-market devices and held preliminary talks, no agreements are finalized, and broader U.S. approval remains uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include any White House or Commerce Department decisions on export controls or entity-list restrictions that could either enable limited sourcing or block progress entirely before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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