Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 65.5% market-implied odds through repeated top rankings on independent leaderboards, superior prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and realistic physics simulation that competitors have not matched in recent head-to-head tests. These capabilities stem from Google DeepMind’s large-scale video training data, iterative releases throughout 2025 and 2026, and seamless integration across Gemini, Flow, and Vertex AI, giving the company a broad distribution advantage. Traders appear to view near-term updates or new entrants as unlikely to close the gap before October resolution, though rapid iteration by Chinese labs or OpenAI could still shift sentiment if benchmark gaps narrow quickly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem a melhor IA de texto para vídeo no final de outubro?
Qual empresa tem a melhor IA de texto para vídeo no final de outubro?
Google 67%
ByteDance 11%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 1.1%
Meta <1%
$36,018 Vol.
$36,018 Vol.
31 out 2026
67%
ByteDance
11%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
1%
Meta
<1%
Pixverse
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Pika
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Runway
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Google 67%
ByteDance 11%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 1.1%
Meta <1%
$36,018 Vol.
$36,018 Vol.
31 out 2026
$25,004 Vol.
67%
ByteDance
$4,217 Vol.
11%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$718 Vol.
1%
Meta
$385 Vol.
<1%
Pixverse
$416 Vol.
<1%
KlingAI
$568 Vol.
<1%
Pruna
$341 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$508 Vol.
<1%
Kandinsky
$425 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$441 Vol.
<1%
Lightricks
$416 Vol.
<1%
Pika
$459 Vol.
<1%
Genmo AI
$432 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$483 Vol.
<1%
Runway
$417 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$416 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 65.5% market-implied odds through repeated top rankings on independent leaderboards, superior prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and realistic physics simulation that competitors have not matched in recent head-to-head tests. These capabilities stem from Google DeepMind’s large-scale video training data, iterative releases throughout 2025 and 2026, and seamless integration across Gemini, Flow, and Vertex AI, giving the company a broad distribution advantage. Traders appear to view near-term updates or new entrants as unlikely to close the gap before October resolution, though rapid iteration by Chinese labs or OpenAI could still shift sentiment if benchmark gaps narrow quickly.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$36,018Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 65.5% market-implied odds through repeated top rankings on independent leaderboards, superior prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and realistic physics simulation that competitors have not matched in recent head-to-head tests. These capabilities stem from Google DeepMind’s large-scale video training data, iterative releases throughout 2025 and 2026, and seamless integration across Gemini, Flow, and Vertex AI, giving the company a broad distribution advantage. Traders appear to view near-term updates or new entrants as unlikely to close the gap before October resolution, though rapid iteration by Chinese labs or OpenAI could still shift sentiment if benchmark gaps narrow quickly.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$36,018Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 65.5% market-implied odds through repeated top rankings on independent leaderboards, superior prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and realistic physics simulation that competitors have not matched in recent head-to-head tests. These capabilities stem from Google DeepMind’s large-scale video training data, iterative releases throughout 2025 and 2026, and seamless integration across Gemini, Flow, and Vertex AI, giving the company a broad distribution advantage. Traders appear to view near-term updates or new entrants as unlikely to close the gap before October resolution, though rapid iteration by Chinese labs or OpenAI could still shift sentiment if benchmark gaps narrow quickly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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