Traders assign Anthropic the clearest edge at 64% implied probability on the LiveBench Mathematics market through October, driven by consistent leadership from its Claude Fable and Opus reasoning models on contamination-resistant math tasks. Recent snapshots show these systems posting top-tier scores near 96% in the category, reflecting advances in multi-step problem solving and chain-of-thought capabilities that outpace most rivals. OpenAI sits at 35.5% as the primary challenger, supported by strong GPT-5 and o-series results, while Google trails at just 2.6% amid lower relative math performance. The broad field of other labs trading near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty, with new model releases or benchmark updates in the next six weeks capable of shifting the narrow gap between the frontrunners.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no LiveBench (Matemática) no final de outubro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no LiveBench (Matemática) no final de outubro?
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.5%
SpaceXAI <1%
$21,710 Vol.
$21,710 Vol.
31 out 2026
Anthropic
64%
OpenAI
36%
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
1%
MiniMax
1%
StepFun
1%
Microsoft
1%
Alibaba
1%
Mistral
1%
Meta
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.5%
SpaceXAI <1%
$21,710 Vol.
$21,710 Vol.
31 out 2026
Anthropic
$5,402 Vol.
64%
OpenAI
$6,460 Vol.
36%
$1,503 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$518 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$479 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$586 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$454 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$562 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$488 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$459 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$509 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$475 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$518 Vol.
1%
Meta
$501 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders assign Anthropic the clearest edge at 64% implied probability on the LiveBench Mathematics market through October, driven by consistent leadership from its Claude Fable and Opus reasoning models on contamination-resistant math tasks. Recent snapshots show these systems posting top-tier scores near 96% in the category, reflecting advances in multi-step problem solving and chain-of-thought capabilities that outpace most rivals. OpenAI sits at 35.5% as the primary challenger, supported by strong GPT-5 and o-series results, while Google trails at just 2.6% amid lower relative math performance. The broad field of other labs trading near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty, with new model releases or benchmark updates in the next six weeks capable of shifting the narrow gap between the frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,710Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders assign Anthropic the clearest edge at 64% implied probability on the LiveBench Mathematics market through October, driven by consistent leadership from its Claude Fable and Opus reasoning models on contamination-resistant math tasks. Recent snapshots show these systems posting top-tier scores near 96% in the category, reflecting advances in multi-step problem solving and chain-of-thought capabilities that outpace most rivals. OpenAI sits at 35.5% as the primary challenger, supported by strong GPT-5 and o-series results, while Google trails at just 2.6% amid lower relative math performance. The broad field of other labs trading near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty, with new model releases or benchmark updates in the next six weeks capable of shifting the narrow gap between the frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$21,710Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Anthropic the clearest edge at 64% implied probability on the LiveBench Mathematics market through October, driven by consistent leadership from its Claude Fable and Opus reasoning models on contamination-resistant math tasks. Recent snapshots show these systems posting top-tier scores near 96% in the category, reflecting advances in multi-step problem solving and chain-of-thought capabilities that outpace most rivals. OpenAI sits at 35.5% as the primary challenger, supported by strong GPT-5 and o-series results, while Google trails at just 2.6% amid lower relative math performance. The broad field of other labs trading near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty, with new model releases or benchmark updates in the next six weeks capable of shifting the narrow gap between the frontrunners.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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