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icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?

icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?

set 30

set 30

<US$419K 52.1%

$419K - $426K 46.6%

US$ 426 mil - US$ 433 mil 3.4%

$433 mil - $440 mil 1.6%

Polymarket

$86,014 Vol.

<US$419K 52.1%

$419K - $426K 46.6%

US$ 426 mil - US$ 433 mil 3.4%

$433 mil - $440 mil 1.6%

Polymarket

$86,014 Vol.

<US$419K

$26,354 Vol.

52%

$419K - $426K

$17,806 Vol.

47%

US$ 426 mil - US$ 433 mil

$11,584 Vol.

6%

$433 mil - $440 mil

$17,773 Vol.

2%

US$440K - US$447K

$5,428 Vol.

1%

US$ 447 mil - US$ 454 mil

$5,368 Vol.

<1%

US$ 454 mil+

$1,701 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent U.S. housing data show modest price appreciation amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% and rising inventory, which have tempered buyer demand and supported a more balanced market. Redfin reported a national median sale price of $398,596 in August 2026, up 2.2% year-over-year, while Realtor.com listed a median asking price of $424,500 and NAR existing-home median sales reached $429,100. Zillow’s typical home value index stood at $368,697 with 1.2% annual growth. These trends, combined with flat-to-declining sales volumes and seasonal patterns, underpin the tight market-implied odds between sub-$419K and the $419K–$426K range for the September 30 reading, with limited probability priced for higher outcomes given the pace of recent gains.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volume
$86,014
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent U.S. housing data show modest price appreciation amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% and rising inventory, which have tempered buyer demand and supported a more balanced market. Redfin reported a national median sale price of $398,596 in August 2026, up 2.2% year-over-year, while Realtor.com listed a median asking price of $424,500 and NAR existing-home median sales reached $429,100. Zillow’s typical home value index stood at $368,697 with 1.2% annual growth. These trends, combined with flat-to-declining sales volumes and seasonal patterns, underpin the tight market-implied odds between sub-$419K and the $419K–$426K range for the September 30 reading, with limited probability priced for higher outcomes given the pace of recent gains.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volume
$86,014
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<US$419K" at 52%, followed by "$419K - $426K" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?" has generated $86K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?" is "<US$419K" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$419K - $426K" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa nos EUA no dia 30 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.