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icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?

icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?

set 30

set 30

$663K - $689K 77.5%

$636K - $663K 15.0%

US$ 689 mil+ 7.4%

$609K - $636K 1.1%

Polymarket

$73,438 Vol.

$663K - $689K 77.5%

$636K - $663K 15.0%

US$ 689 mil+ 7.4%

$609K - $636K 1.1%

Polymarket

$73,438 Vol.

<US$555 mil

$1,420 Vol.

1%

$555K - $582K

$2,839 Vol.

1%

US$ 582K - US$ 609K

$1,360 Vol.

1%

$609K - $636K

$9,523 Vol.

1%

$636K - $663K

$37,319 Vol.

15%

$663K - $689K

$12,165 Vol.

78%

US$ 689 mil+

$8,812 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$73,438
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$73,438
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$663K - $689K" at 78%, followed by "$636K - $663K" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?" has generated $73.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?" is "$663K - $689K" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$636K - $663K" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova Iorque no dia 30 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.