Don't Say Good Luck has surged to a 100% market-implied probability of claiming the #2 global Netflix movie spot this week thanks to its August 14 release, strong 97% Rotten Tomatoes score, and the built-in audience from Adam Sandler’s Happy Madison production and Sunny Sandler’s lead role. Fresh teen dramedy buzz, positive early audience scores, and typical new-release viewing spikes have driven trader consensus on its chart trajectory ahead of holdovers. An upset remains possible if another title posts an unexpected late-week surge in views or if regional performance data shifts rankings before the weekly lock, though the film’s momentum makes that scenario unlikely.