Moonshot AI leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October 2026, followed by SpaceXAI at 24.3% and Z.ai at 10.4%, amid a tightly contested field where no single lab dominates agentic benchmarks. Moonshot’s July 2026 Kimi K3 release, featuring up to 300 parallel sub-agents in its Swarm system and strong coding agent tools like Kimi Code, has driven recent gains on verified agentic evaluations. SpaceXAI’s Grok 4.1 Fast with native Agent Tools API and real-time X/web integration supports its positioning through demonstrated tool-calling performance. Z.ai’s GLM-5 series and ZCode harness add open-weight momentum, while OpenAI’s new managed Agents API beta and multi-agent swarm experiments introduce volatility. Traders weigh these capability milestones against typical six-week timelines for further releases or benchmark shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTerceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
Terceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
Moonshot 37%
SpaceXAI 10.6%
Z.ai 10.3%
Google 6.5%
$18,689 Vol.
$18,689 Vol.
31 out 2026
Moonshot
37%
SpaceXAI
24%
Z.ai
10%
6%
OpenAI
6%
Alibaba
6%
Xiaomi
5%
DeepSeek
4%
Anthropic
4%
Microsoft
4%
ByteDance
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Baidu
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Moonshot 37%
SpaceXAI 10.6%
Z.ai 10.3%
Google 6.5%
$18,689 Vol.
$18,689 Vol.
31 out 2026
Moonshot
$7,824 Vol.
37%
SpaceXAI
$612 Vol.
24%
Z.ai
$442 Vol.
10%
$295 Vol.
6%
OpenAI
$5,002 Vol.
6%
Alibaba
$659 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$262 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$337 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$1,019 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$252 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$473 Vol.
1%
Meta
$229 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$224 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$184 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$224 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$201 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$229 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$224 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October 2026, followed by SpaceXAI at 24.3% and Z.ai at 10.4%, amid a tightly contested field where no single lab dominates agentic benchmarks. Moonshot’s July 2026 Kimi K3 release, featuring up to 300 parallel sub-agents in its Swarm system and strong coding agent tools like Kimi Code, has driven recent gains on verified agentic evaluations. SpaceXAI’s Grok 4.1 Fast with native Agent Tools API and real-time X/web integration supports its positioning through demonstrated tool-calling performance. Z.ai’s GLM-5 series and ZCode harness add open-weight momentum, while OpenAI’s new managed Agents API beta and multi-agent swarm experiments introduce volatility. Traders weigh these capability milestones against typical six-week timelines for further releases or benchmark shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$18,689Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October 2026, followed by SpaceXAI at 24.3% and Z.ai at 10.4%, amid a tightly contested field where no single lab dominates agentic benchmarks. Moonshot’s July 2026 Kimi K3 release, featuring up to 300 parallel sub-agents in its Swarm system and strong coding agent tools like Kimi Code, has driven recent gains on verified agentic evaluations. SpaceXAI’s Grok 4.1 Fast with native Agent Tools API and real-time X/web integration supports its positioning through demonstrated tool-calling performance. Z.ai’s GLM-5 series and ZCode harness add open-weight momentum, while OpenAI’s new managed Agents API beta and multi-agent swarm experiments introduce volatility. Traders weigh these capability milestones against typical six-week timelines for further releases or benchmark shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$18,689Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October 2026, followed by SpaceXAI at 24.3% and Z.ai at 10.4%, amid a tightly contested field where no single lab dominates agentic benchmarks. Moonshot’s July 2026 Kimi K3 release, featuring up to 300 parallel sub-agents in its Swarm system and strong coding agent tools like Kimi Code, has driven recent gains on verified agentic evaluations. SpaceXAI’s Grok 4.1 Fast with native Agent Tools API and real-time X/web integration supports its positioning through demonstrated tool-calling performance. Z.ai’s GLM-5 series and ZCode harness add open-weight momentum, while OpenAI’s new managed Agents API beta and multi-agent swarm experiments introduce volatility. Traders weigh these capability milestones against typical six-week timelines for further releases or benchmark shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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