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icon for A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?

A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?

icon for A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?

A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?

$64,361 Vol.

31 out 2026
Polymarket

$64,361 Vol.

Polymarket

October 31

$4,216 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Situational Awareness, the AI-focused hedge fund founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, faced steep losses in July 2026 amid a broader rout in AI infrastructure and semiconductor stocks.** The fund, which had grown rapidly to a reported peak of around $45 billion in assets under management through concentrated, often leveraged bets on names like Anthropic, CoreWeave, and chip-related plays, sold the bulk of its public equity portfolio to Citadel in a distressed transaction to meet margin calls and stabilize operations. AUM reportedly fell sharply to the $8–10 billion range, with private holdings such as the Anthropic stake retained. Aschenbrenner issued an investor letter inviting fresh commitments starting August 1, framing the selloff as a buying opportunity, but credible reporting indicated limited uptake. The fund later deployed $400 million into chip-manufacturing startup Source Foundry, signaling ongoing deployment of capital but highlighting a shift toward illiquid private investments. These events created significant uncertainty around the ability to attract meaningful new outside capital on a tight timeline, with trader consensus reflecting doubts over rapid recovery from reputational and liquidity pressures. Upcoming catalysts include any post-August disclosures on inflows or further private deployments that could clarify the fund’s path forward.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.

Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$64,361
Data de Término
1 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Situational Awareness, the AI-focused hedge fund founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, faced steep losses in July 2026 amid a broader rout in AI infrastructure and semiconductor stocks.** The fund, which had grown rapidly to a reported peak of around $45 billion in assets under management through concentrated, often leveraged bets on names like Anthropic, CoreWeave, and chip-related plays, sold the bulk of its public equity portfolio to Citadel in a distressed transaction to meet margin calls and stabilize operations. AUM reportedly fell sharply to the $8–10 billion range, with private holdings such as the Anthropic stake retained. Aschenbrenner issued an investor letter inviting fresh commitments starting August 1, framing the selloff as a buying opportunity, but credible reporting indicated limited uptake. The fund later deployed $400 million into chip-manufacturing startup Source Foundry, signaling ongoing deployment of capital but highlighting a shift toward illiquid private investments. These events created significant uncertainty around the ability to attract meaningful new outside capital on a tight timeline, with trader consensus reflecting doubts over rapid recovery from reputational and liquidity pressures. Upcoming catalysts include any post-August disclosures on inflows or further private deployments that could clarify the fund’s path forward.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.

Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$64,361
Data de Término
1 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 31" at 25%, followed by "31 de agosto" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?" has generated $64.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?" is "October 31" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de agosto" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A Consciência Situacional levanta novo capital por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.