Recent model launches in early September 2026 have intensified competition for second-best AI lab status by end of October, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 claiming top spots on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Arena leaderboards, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash advancing multimodal and agentic benchmarks, Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3 closing gaps in coding and real-time performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra tying on select metrics. These releases highlight differentiating factors including benchmark leadership in reasoning and agent workflows, safety configurations, compute scale, and ecosystem integration. Trader consensus reflects a tight race among Google, Anthropic, and Meta behind presumed leader OpenAI, with October resolution hinging on sustained leaderboard performance and any follow-on updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSegundo melhor laboratório de IA no final de outubro?
Segundo melhor laboratório de IA no final de outubro?
Google 49%
Anthropic 20%
Meta 18%
OpenAI 9.4%
$19,363 Vol.
$19,363 Vol.
31 out 2026
49%
Anthropic
20%
Meta
18%
OpenAI
9%
SpaceXAI
5%
Alibaba
3%
Z.ai
2%
Thinky
2%
Moonshot
1%
Baidu
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Microsoft
1%
ByteDance
1%
Nvidia
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Google 49%
Anthropic 20%
Meta 18%
OpenAI 9.4%
$19,363 Vol.
$19,363 Vol.
31 out 2026
$8,757 Vol.
49%
Anthropic
$1,837 Vol.
20%
Meta
$971 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$526 Vol.
9%
SpaceXAI
$311 Vol.
5%
Alibaba
$772 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$478 Vol.
2%
Thinky
$705 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$382 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$463 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$551 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$466 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$372 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$304 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$345 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$304 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$380 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$341 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$333 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$295 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$472 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model launches in early September 2026 have intensified competition for second-best AI lab status by end of October, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 claiming top spots on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Arena leaderboards, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash advancing multimodal and agentic benchmarks, Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3 closing gaps in coding and real-time performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra tying on select metrics. These releases highlight differentiating factors including benchmark leadership in reasoning and agent workflows, safety configurations, compute scale, and ecosystem integration. Trader consensus reflects a tight race among Google, Anthropic, and Meta behind presumed leader OpenAI, with October resolution hinging on sustained leaderboard performance and any follow-on updates.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$19,363Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model launches in early September 2026 have intensified competition for second-best AI lab status by end of October, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 claiming top spots on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Arena leaderboards, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash advancing multimodal and agentic benchmarks, Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3 closing gaps in coding and real-time performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra tying on select metrics. These releases highlight differentiating factors including benchmark leadership in reasoning and agent workflows, safety configurations, compute scale, and ecosystem integration. Trader consensus reflects a tight race among Google, Anthropic, and Meta behind presumed leader OpenAI, with October resolution hinging on sustained leaderboard performance and any follow-on updates.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$19,363Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model launches in early September 2026 have intensified competition for second-best AI lab status by end of October, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 claiming top spots on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Arena leaderboards, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash advancing multimodal and agentic benchmarks, Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3 closing gaps in coding and real-time performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra tying on select metrics. These releases highlight differentiating factors including benchmark leadership in reasoning and agent workflows, safety configurations, compute scale, and ecosystem integration. Trader consensus reflects a tight race among Google, Anthropic, and Meta behind presumed leader OpenAI, with October resolution hinging on sustained leaderboard performance and any follow-on updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions