Trader sentiment strongly backs OpenAI as the second-best AI agent lab by end of October, reflected in its 63.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from the lab's rapid iteration on large language models with enhanced agentic features, including better tool use, multi-step reasoning, and integration with developer ecosystems that outpace most rivals in demonstrated capabilities. Anthropic sits at 18% on the strength of its safety-focused Claude models and enterprise adoption, while lower-odds contenders like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail due to narrower public benchmarks or slower agent-specific releases. Key upcoming catalysts include new model evaluations and industry events that could recalibrate these odds if they highlight unexpected progress from other labs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSegundo melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
Segundo melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
OpenAI 67%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 8%
Google 3.1%
$32,216 Vol.
$32,216 Vol.
31 out 2026
OpenAI
67%
Anthropic
18%
Moonshot
8%
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Amazon
2%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
MiniMax
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
Baidu
1%
Meta
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
OpenAI 67%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 8%
Google 3.1%
$32,216 Vol.
$32,216 Vol.
31 out 2026
OpenAI
$11,723 Vol.
67%
Anthropic
$4,062 Vol.
18%
Moonshot
$7,584 Vol.
8%
$1,495 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$673 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$586 Vol.
2%
Amazon
$567 Vol.
2%
Meituan
$491 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$521 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$594 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$517 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$523 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$559 Vol.
1%
Meta
$477 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$423 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$526 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$494 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment strongly backs OpenAI as the second-best AI agent lab by end of October, reflected in its 63.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from the lab's rapid iteration on large language models with enhanced agentic features, including better tool use, multi-step reasoning, and integration with developer ecosystems that outpace most rivals in demonstrated capabilities. Anthropic sits at 18% on the strength of its safety-focused Claude models and enterprise adoption, while lower-odds contenders like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail due to narrower public benchmarks or slower agent-specific releases. Key upcoming catalysts include new model evaluations and industry events that could recalibrate these odds if they highlight unexpected progress from other labs.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$32,216Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment strongly backs OpenAI as the second-best AI agent lab by end of October, reflected in its 63.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from the lab's rapid iteration on large language models with enhanced agentic features, including better tool use, multi-step reasoning, and integration with developer ecosystems that outpace most rivals in demonstrated capabilities. Anthropic sits at 18% on the strength of its safety-focused Claude models and enterprise adoption, while lower-odds contenders like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail due to narrower public benchmarks or slower agent-specific releases. Key upcoming catalysts include new model evaluations and industry events that could recalibrate these odds if they highlight unexpected progress from other labs.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$32,216Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment strongly backs OpenAI as the second-best AI agent lab by end of October, reflected in its 63.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from the lab's rapid iteration on large language models with enhanced agentic features, including better tool use, multi-step reasoning, and integration with developer ecosystems that outpace most rivals in demonstrated capabilities. Anthropic sits at 18% on the strength of its safety-focused Claude models and enterprise adoption, while lower-odds contenders like Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google trail due to narrower public benchmarks or slower agent-specific releases. Key upcoming catalysts include new model evaluations and industry events that could recalibrate these odds if they highlight unexpected progress from other labs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions