SCOTUS ruled 6-3 in late June 2026 to uphold birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and strike down the Trump administration’s executive order, following April oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara. President Trump publicly stated in early July he would seek rehearing immediately, but the 25-day filing window closed without a petition from the administration, according to multiple reports by late July. SCOTUS has not granted rehearing in an argued case since 1965, reflecting institutional reluctance to revisit final merits decisions absent extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 95.8% against a grant by year-end stems from this procedural barrier and historical rarity. A late or extraordinary filing, new vacancies altering the Court’s composition, or related litigation reaching the docket could theoretically shift the outlook, though such paths remain remote given current rules and timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
4% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
Sim
4% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SCOTUS ruled 6-3 in late June 2026 to uphold birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and strike down the Trump administration’s executive order, following April oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara. President Trump publicly stated in early July he would seek rehearing immediately, but the 25-day filing window closed without a petition from the administration, according to multiple reports by late July. SCOTUS has not granted rehearing in an argued case since 1965, reflecting institutional reluctance to revisit final merits decisions absent extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 95.8% against a grant by year-end stems from this procedural barrier and historical rarity. A late or extraordinary filing, new vacancies altering the Court’s composition, or related litigation reaching the docket could theoretically shift the outlook, though such paths remain remote given current rules and timing.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,719Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SCOTUS ruled 6-3 in late June 2026 to uphold birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and strike down the Trump administration’s executive order, following April oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara. President Trump publicly stated in early July he would seek rehearing immediately, but the 25-day filing window closed without a petition from the administration, according to multiple reports by late July. SCOTUS has not granted rehearing in an argued case since 1965, reflecting institutional reluctance to revisit final merits decisions absent extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 95.8% against a grant by year-end stems from this procedural barrier and historical rarity. A late or extraordinary filing, new vacancies altering the Court’s composition, or related litigation reaching the docket could theoretically shift the outlook, though such paths remain remote given current rules and timing.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,719Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SCOTUS ruled 6-3 in late June 2026 to uphold birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and strike down the Trump administration’s executive order, following April oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara. President Trump publicly stated in early July he would seek rehearing immediately, but the 25-day filing window closed without a petition from the administration, according to multiple reports by late July. SCOTUS has not granted rehearing in an argued case since 1965, reflecting institutional reluctance to revisit final merits decisions absent extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus at 95.8% against a grant by year-end stems from this procedural barrier and historical rarity. A late or extraordinary filing, new vacancies altering the Court’s composition, or related litigation reaching the docket could theoretically shift the outlook, though such paths remain remote given current rules and timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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