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icon for Precipitação em Nova York em julho?

Precipitação em Nova York em julho?

icon for Precipitação em Nova York em julho?

Precipitação em Nova York em julho?

Ended: jul 31

Ended: jul 31

4-5" 100.0%

<2" <1%

2-3" <1%

3-4" <1%

Polymarket

$49,258 Vol.

4-5" 100.0%

<2" <1%

2-3" <1%

3-4" <1%

Polymarket

$49,258 Vol.

<2"

$4,721 Vol.

No

2-3"

$6,845 Vol.

No

3-4"

$1,506 Vol.

No

4-5"

$8,937 Vol.

Yes

5-6"

$23,987 Vol.

No

>6"

$3,263 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,258
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,258
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitação em Nova York em julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4-5"" at 100%, followed by "<2"" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Precipitação em Nova York em julho?" has generated $49.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Precipitação em Nova York em julho?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitação em Nova York em julho?" is "4-5"" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<2"" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitação em Nova York em julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.