The Odyssey's narrow 52.5% implied probability edges out a broad pack of 2026 releases clustered near 50%, underscoring how early and fluid the Oscars 2027 Best Picture race remains. With no guild or precursor results yet available, trader consensus hinges on initial critical reception, festival buzz, and box-office tracking rather than established momentum. Films like Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra trail at 13.5% and 15%, highlighting the premium on proven awards pedigrees and scale versus emerging dark horses. Late-year releases, streaming metrics, and critics' circles will serve as key swing factors, as historical patterns show September frontrunners frequently realign once voting bodies begin screening season.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme
Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme
A Odisséia 53%
La Bola Negra 15%
Duna: Parte Três 14%
Wild Horse Nine 7%
$200,977 Vol.
$200,977 Vol.
14 mar 2027
A Odisséia
53%
La Bola Negra
15%
Duna: Parte Três
14%
Wild Horse Nine
7%
Digger
6%
Projeto Hail Mary
3%
The Debut
3%
Fjord
2%
O Convite
1%
Behemoth!
1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
O Drama
<1%
As Aventuras de Cliff Booth
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Josephine
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
Tony
<1%
O Dia da Revelação
<1%
Fatherland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Vingadores: Juízo Final
<1%
A Odisséia 53%
La Bola Negra 15%
Duna: Parte Três 14%
Wild Horse Nine 7%
$200,977 Vol.
$200,977 Vol.
14 mar 2027
A Odisséia
$125,076 Vol.
53%
La Bola Negra
$5,018 Vol.
15%
Duna: Parte Três
$18,308 Vol.
14%
Wild Horse Nine
$7,841 Vol.
7%
Digger
$8,554 Vol.
6%
Projeto Hail Mary
$4,366 Vol.
3%
The Debut
$5,080 Vol.
3%
Fjord
$4,579 Vol.
2%
O Convite
$1,329 Vol.
1%
Behemoth!
$3,774 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
O Drama
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
As Aventuras de Cliff Booth
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
Clarissa
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
Josephine
$1,295 Vol.
<1%
Saturn Return
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
Tony
$3,379 Vol.
<1%
O Dia da Revelação
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
Fatherland
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
All of a Sudden
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$1,347 Vol.
<1%
Vingadores: Juízo Final
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's narrow 52.5% implied probability edges out a broad pack of 2026 releases clustered near 50%, underscoring how early and fluid the Oscars 2027 Best Picture race remains. With no guild or precursor results yet available, trader consensus hinges on initial critical reception, festival buzz, and box-office tracking rather than established momentum. Films like Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra trail at 13.5% and 15%, highlighting the premium on proven awards pedigrees and scale versus emerging dark horses. Late-year releases, streaming metrics, and critics' circles will serve as key swing factors, as historical patterns show September frontrunners frequently realign once voting bodies begin screening season.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$200,977Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's narrow 52.5% implied probability edges out a broad pack of 2026 releases clustered near 50%, underscoring how early and fluid the Oscars 2027 Best Picture race remains. With no guild or precursor results yet available, trader consensus hinges on initial critical reception, festival buzz, and box-office tracking rather than established momentum. Films like Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra trail at 13.5% and 15%, highlighting the premium on proven awards pedigrees and scale versus emerging dark horses. Late-year releases, streaming metrics, and critics' circles will serve as key swing factors, as historical patterns show September frontrunners frequently realign once voting bodies begin screening season.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,977Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey's narrow 52.5% implied probability edges out a broad pack of 2026 releases clustered near 50%, underscoring how early and fluid the Oscars 2027 Best Picture race remains. With no guild or precursor results yet available, trader consensus hinges on initial critical reception, festival buzz, and box-office tracking rather than established momentum. Films like Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra trail at 13.5% and 15%, highlighting the premium on proven awards pedigrees and scale versus emerging dark horses. Late-year releases, streaming metrics, and critics' circles will serve as key swing factors, as historical patterns show September frontrunners frequently realign once voting bodies begin screening season.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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