The Black Ball leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature race with a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception—including a Best Director prize, extended standing ovation, and critical praise for its ambitious queer historical epic—and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s official submission. Recent Spanish academy shortlisting on September 3 reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A broad field of other titles clustered near 50% reflects the early campaign stage and typical pre-nomination uncertainty, while Fjord’s 13.5% price captures its Palme d’Or prestige and Romanian entry despite lower market conviction. Other lower-priced contenders like Possible Love and All of a Sudden await clearer signals from guild precursors and festival momentum through early 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Longa-Metragem Internacional
Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Longa-Metragem Internacional
The Black Ball 78%
Fjord 14%
Possível Amor 8.5%
Coward 3.3%
$16,756 Vol.
$16,756 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Black Ball
78%
Fjord
14%
Possível Amor
9%
Coward
3%
All of a Sudden
3%
Natal Amargo
2%
Minotauro
2%
The Beloved
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
Ovelha na Caixa
1%
A Aventura Sonhada
1%
Fatherland
<1%
Rose
<1%
O Homem que Eu Amo
<1%
Hope
<1%
The Black Ball 78%
Fjord 14%
Possível Amor 8.5%
Coward 3.3%
$16,756 Vol.
$16,756 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Black Ball
$7,164 Vol.
78%
Fjord
$1,098 Vol.
14%
Possível Amor
$769 Vol.
9%
Coward
$799 Vol.
3%
All of a Sudden
$628 Vol.
3%
Natal Amargo
$548 Vol.
2%
Minotauro
$711 Vol.
2%
The Beloved
$773 Vol.
1%
Parallel Tales
$704 Vol.
1%
Ovelha na Caixa
$672 Vol.
1%
A Aventura Sonhada
$542 Vol.
1%
Fatherland
$685 Vol.
<1%
Rose
$557 Vol.
<1%
O Homem que Eu Amo
$412 Vol.
<1%
Hope
$693 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature race with a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception—including a Best Director prize, extended standing ovation, and critical praise for its ambitious queer historical epic—and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s official submission. Recent Spanish academy shortlisting on September 3 reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A broad field of other titles clustered near 50% reflects the early campaign stage and typical pre-nomination uncertainty, while Fjord’s 13.5% price captures its Palme d’Or prestige and Romanian entry despite lower market conviction. Other lower-priced contenders like Possible Love and All of a Sudden await clearer signals from guild precursors and festival momentum through early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Volume
$16,756Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature race with a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception—including a Best Director prize, extended standing ovation, and critical praise for its ambitious queer historical epic—and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s official submission. Recent Spanish academy shortlisting on September 3 reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A broad field of other titles clustered near 50% reflects the early campaign stage and typical pre-nomination uncertainty, while Fjord’s 13.5% price captures its Palme d’Or prestige and Romanian entry despite lower market conviction. Other lower-priced contenders like Possible Love and All of a Sudden await clearer signals from guild precursors and festival momentum through early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,756Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature race with a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception—including a Best Director prize, extended standing ovation, and critical praise for its ambitious queer historical epic—and Netflix-backed awards push as Spain’s official submission. Recent Spanish academy shortlisting on September 3 reinforced its frontrunner status ahead of the December 15 shortlist announcement. A broad field of other titles clustered near 50% reflects the early campaign stage and typical pre-nomination uncertainty, while Fjord’s 13.5% price captures its Palme d’Or prestige and Romanian entry despite lower market conviction. Other lower-priced contenders like Possible Love and All of a Sudden await clearer signals from guild precursors and festival momentum through early 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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