Julianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoÓscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$131,344 Vol.
$131,344 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
13%
Renate Reinsve
10%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
2%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$131,344 Vol.
$131,344 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
$88,486 Vol.
64%
Inde Navarrette
$24,326 Vol.
13%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
10%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Vol.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 Vol.
2%
Ruth Madeley
$711 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 Vol.
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$131,344Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$131,344Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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