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icon for Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator

Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator

icon for Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator

Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator

Matt Damon 27%

John Malkovich 22.9%

Andrew Scott 17%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$107,316 Vol.

Matt Damon 27%

John Malkovich 22.9%

Andrew Scott 17%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$107,316 Vol.

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$32,103 Vol.

27%

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$5,816 Vol.

23%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$11,731 Vol.

17%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$9,670 Vol.

15%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,157 Vol.

8%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,627 Vol.

3%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,694 Vol.

3%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,707 Vol.

2%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$3,968 Vol.

2%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,839 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,014 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,140 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$2,501 Vol.

1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,036 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,302 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,039 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,461 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,511 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early 2027 Oscar Best Actor odds reflect a wide-open field driven by anticipated 2026 releases rather than confirmed frontrunners. Matt Damon leads at 26.5% implied probability on the strength of expected awards-caliber turns, followed closely by John Malkovich at 22.9% and Andrew Scott at 17%, with Tom Cruise and Robert Pattinson also drawing trader attention. Lower probabilities for Timothée Chalamet, Sebastian Stan, and others underscore the absence of dominant precursors or guild momentum at this stage. Key differentiators include project timing, critical buzz potential, and historical voter preferences for established names versus rising stars. Upcoming festival premieres and late-2026 releases could quickly shift these market-implied odds as campaigns gain traction.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$107,316
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early 2027 Oscar Best Actor odds reflect a wide-open field driven by anticipated 2026 releases rather than confirmed frontrunners. Matt Damon leads at 26.5% implied probability on the strength of expected awards-caliber turns, followed closely by John Malkovich at 22.9% and Andrew Scott at 17%, with Tom Cruise and Robert Pattinson also drawing trader attention. Lower probabilities for Timothée Chalamet, Sebastian Stan, and others underscore the absence of dominant precursors or guild momentum at this stage. Key differentiators include project timing, critical buzz potential, and historical voter preferences for established names versus rising stars. Upcoming festival premieres and late-2026 releases could quickly shift these market-implied odds as campaigns gain traction.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$107,316
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Damon" at 27%, followed by "John Malkovich" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator" has generated $107.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator" is "Matt Damon" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Malkovich" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.