Nvidia’s recent fiscal second-quarter results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and a raised 70% growth outlook for fiscal 2028, have reinforced trader confidence in sustained AI infrastructure demand, pushing current market capitalization near $5.5–5.6 trillion. Strong data-center momentum from Blackwell Ultra and early Vera Rubin shipments contrasts with supply-chain constraints and rising competition from hyperscaler custom ASICs, AMD’s MI450 series, and inference-focused alternatives that target cost and efficiency advantages. These dynamics create a tight distribution of year-end 2026 market-cap probabilities across the $5–6.5 trillion range, as traders weigh Nvidia’s platform lock-in via CUDA against accelerating diversification into merchant and custom silicon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO valor de mercado da Nvidia no final de 2026?
US$ 6,50T+ 25%
US$ 5,50–6,00 trilhões 22%
US$ 4,50–5,00T 14%
US$6,00–US$6,50T 14%
<US$ 4,00T
9%
US$4,00–US$4,50T
10%
US$ 4,50–5,00T
14%
US$ 5,00–5,50T
10%
US$ 5,50–6,00 trilhões
22%
US$6,00–US$6,50T
14%
US$ 6,50T+
25%
US$ 6,50T+ 25%
US$ 5,50–6,00 trilhões 22%
US$ 4,50–5,00T 14%
US$6,00–US$6,50T 14%
<US$ 4,00T
9%
US$4,00–US$4,50T
10%
US$ 4,50–5,00T
14%
US$ 5,00–5,50T
10%
US$ 5,50–6,00 trilhões
22%
US$6,00–US$6,50T
14%
US$ 6,50T+
25%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s recent fiscal second-quarter results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and a raised 70% growth outlook for fiscal 2028, have reinforced trader confidence in sustained AI infrastructure demand, pushing current market capitalization near $5.5–5.6 trillion. Strong data-center momentum from Blackwell Ultra and early Vera Rubin shipments contrasts with supply-chain constraints and rising competition from hyperscaler custom ASICs, AMD’s MI450 series, and inference-focused alternatives that target cost and efficiency advantages. These dynamics create a tight distribution of year-end 2026 market-cap probabilities across the $5–6.5 trillion range, as traders weigh Nvidia’s platform lock-in via CUDA against accelerating diversification into merchant and custom silicon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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