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icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?

Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?

icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?

Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?

$40,792 Vol.

30 set 2026
Polymarket

$40,792 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$6,728 Vol.

6%

31 de dezembro

$10,478 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf secured re-election as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 with 235 votes against 29 for his nearest challenger, extending his tenure that began in 2020 into a seventh consecutive term. This outcome reflects solid backing from the principlist majority amid post-conflict diplomacy with the United States, where Ghalibaf has served as lead negotiator on sanctions, nuclear issues, and regional stability. Internal conservative divisions surfaced over committee posts and negotiation strategy, yet no formal challenge has displaced him from the presiding board or Supreme National Security Council role. Parliament's next leadership votes and any shifts in Supreme Leader influence or factional alignments within the current term could still affect continuity, though structural barriers to removal remain high absent major political realignment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,792
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf secured re-election as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly in May 2026 with 235 votes against 29 for his nearest challenger, extending his tenure that began in 2020 into a seventh consecutive term. This outcome reflects solid backing from the principlist majority amid post-conflict diplomacy with the United States, where Ghalibaf has served as lead negotiator on sanctions, nuclear issues, and regional stability. Internal conservative divisions surfaced over committee posts and negotiation strategy, yet no formal challenge has displaced him from the presiding board or Supreme National Security Council role. Parliament's next leadership votes and any shifts in Supreme Leader influence or factional alignments within the current term could still affect continuity, though structural barriers to removal remain high absent major political realignment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,792
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 16%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?" has generated $40.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mohammed Ghalibaf como Presidente do Parlamento do Irã por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.