Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, driven by large outbreaks that began in 2025 and continue into 2026, has produced 2,777 confirmed cases as of August 20 according to CDC surveillance, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Most cases (94%) are outbreak-associated and linked to undervaccinated communities, with the majority occurring in children and young adults. Weekly additions of 50–100 cases reflect sustained local spread rather than solely imported infections, consistent with historical patterns when MMR coverage falls below herd-immunity thresholds. CDC’s next weekly update, expected within days, and any new case reports through August 31 will determine the final cumulative total for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCasos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?
$21,423 Vol.
2.750+
Sim
2.400+
Sim
2450+
Sim
2.500+
Sim
2550+
Sim
2600+
Sim
2650+
Yes
2700+
Yes
$21,423 Vol.
2.750+
Sim
2.400+
Sim
2450+
Sim
2.500+
Sim
2550+
Sim
2600+
Sim
2650+
Yes
2700+
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, driven by large outbreaks that began in 2025 and continue into 2026, has produced 2,777 confirmed cases as of August 20 according to CDC surveillance, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Most cases (94%) are outbreak-associated and linked to undervaccinated communities, with the majority occurring in children and young adults. Weekly additions of 50–100 cases reflect sustained local spread rather than solely imported infections, consistent with historical patterns when MMR coverage falls below herd-immunity thresholds. CDC’s next weekly update, expected within days, and any new case reports through August 31 will determine the final cumulative total for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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