North Korea’s consistent rejection of engagement under current U.S. policy, combined with Pyongyang’s accelerated nuclear enrichment and missile programs, underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a Kim Jong Un visit to the United States in 2026. Recent statements from Kim Yo Jong have dismissed U.S. signals, including scaled-back joint exercises, while North Korea has prioritized ties with Russia and China that reduce incentives for Washington talks. No verified invitation, itinerary, or preparatory diplomacy has emerged by early September, leaving insufficient time for the complex logistics of a leader-level trip. A late-year breakthrough—such as a sudden Trump-Kim summit agreement or major sanctions concession—remains the narrow pathway that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKim Jong Un visita os EUA em 2026?
Kim Jong Un visita os EUA em 2026?
Sim
3% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
Sim
3% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.North Korea’s consistent rejection of engagement under current U.S. policy, combined with Pyongyang’s accelerated nuclear enrichment and missile programs, underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a Kim Jong Un visit to the United States in 2026. Recent statements from Kim Yo Jong have dismissed U.S. signals, including scaled-back joint exercises, while North Korea has prioritized ties with Russia and China that reduce incentives for Washington talks. No verified invitation, itinerary, or preparatory diplomacy has emerged by early September, leaving insufficient time for the complex logistics of a leader-level trip. A late-year breakthrough—such as a sudden Trump-Kim summit agreement or major sanctions concession—remains the narrow pathway that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$263Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.North Korea’s consistent rejection of engagement under current U.S. policy, combined with Pyongyang’s accelerated nuclear enrichment and missile programs, underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a Kim Jong Un visit to the United States in 2026. Recent statements from Kim Yo Jong have dismissed U.S. signals, including scaled-back joint exercises, while North Korea has prioritized ties with Russia and China that reduce incentives for Washington talks. No verified invitation, itinerary, or preparatory diplomacy has emerged by early September, leaving insufficient time for the complex logistics of a leader-level trip. A late-year breakthrough—such as a sudden Trump-Kim summit agreement or major sanctions concession—remains the narrow pathway that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$263Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...North Korea’s consistent rejection of engagement under current U.S. policy, combined with Pyongyang’s accelerated nuclear enrichment and missile programs, underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a Kim Jong Un visit to the United States in 2026. Recent statements from Kim Yo Jong have dismissed U.S. signals, including scaled-back joint exercises, while North Korea has prioritized ties with Russia and China that reduce incentives for Washington talks. No verified invitation, itinerary, or preparatory diplomacy has emerged by early September, leaving insufficient time for the complex logistics of a leader-level trip. A late-year breakthrough—such as a sudden Trump-Kim summit agreement or major sanctions concession—remains the narrow pathway that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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