Ty Masterson secured the Republican nomination for Kansas governor in the August 4 primary with 43.2% of the vote in a seven-candidate field, producing a roughly 21-point margin over second-place finisher Philip Sarnecki. President Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support among conservative primary voters and prompted at least one withdrawal, while the remaining candidates—businessman Sarnecki, Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt, and Secretary of State Scott Schwab—split the balance of the vote. With results now certified at these levels and no active recounts or disputes altering the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed primary tallies. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only narrow paths that could shift the recorded margin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMasterson 20–25% 100.0%
Masterson 25%+ <1%
Masterson 15–20% <1%
Masterson 10–15% <1%
$20,532 Vol.
$20,532 Vol.
Masterson 25%+
Não
Masterson 20–25%
Sim
Masterson 15–20%
Não
Masterson 10–15%
Não
Masterson 5–10%
Não
Masterson <5%
Não
Sarnecki <5%
Não
Sarnecki 5–10%
Não
Sarnecki 10%+
Não
Masterson 20–25% 100.0%
Masterson 25%+ <1%
Masterson 15–20% <1%
Masterson 10–15% <1%
$20,532 Vol.
$20,532 Vol.
Masterson 25%+
Não
Masterson 20–25%
Sim
Masterson 15–20%
Não
Masterson 10–15%
Não
Masterson 5–10%
Não
Masterson <5%
Não
Sarnecki <5%
Não
Sarnecki 5–10%
Não
Sarnecki 10%+
Não
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Ty Masterson secured the Republican nomination for Kansas governor in the August 4 primary with 43.2% of the vote in a seven-candidate field, producing a roughly 21-point margin over second-place finisher Philip Sarnecki. President Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support among conservative primary voters and prompted at least one withdrawal, while the remaining candidates—businessman Sarnecki, Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt, and Secretary of State Scott Schwab—split the balance of the vote. With results now certified at these levels and no active recounts or disputes altering the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed primary tallies. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only narrow paths that could shift the recorded margin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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