Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado12 20%
11 18%
10 17%
13 16%
$11,920 Vol.
$11,920 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<8
<1%
8
7%
9
11%
10
17%
11
18%
12
20%
13
16%
14+
10%
12 20%
11 18%
10 17%
13 16%
$11,920 Vol.
$11,920 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<8
$220 Vol.
<1%
8
$3,686 Vol.
7%
9
$1,046 Vol.
11%
10
$1,359 Vol.
17%
11
$608 Vol.
18%
12
$674 Vol.
20%
13
$1,450 Vol.
16%
14+
$2,878 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$11,920Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,920Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
Os democratas vencerão exatamente 20 cadeiras na Câmara em Nova York nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
36%
Sim
Os democratas ganharão exatamente 48 cadeiras na Câmara na Califórnia nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
71%
Sim
Os democratas ganharão exatamente 7 assentos na Câmara na Virgínia nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
36%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions