Global seismic monitoring by the USGS recorded no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher between August 3 and 9, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for zero events. The strongest activity included a 6.3 Mw event in the Philippines and another near New Zealand, plus a 6.1 Mw quake south of the Kermadec Islands on August 5—none crossing the threshold on the moment magnitude scale. This outcome fits typical weekly variability, as M6.5+ quakes occur roughly 1–2 times per week on average worldwide but cluster irregularly. Trader consensus reflects confirmed catalog data through the resolution window, with limited upside scenarios limited to potential late revisions in preliminary magnitudes or unreported aftershocks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos terramotos de 6,5 ou mais de 3 de agosto a 9 de agosto?
Quantos terramotos de 6,5 ou mais de 3 de agosto a 9 de agosto?
0 100.0%
5 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$78,459 Vol.
$78,459 Vol.
9 ago 2026
0
Sim
1
Não
2
Não
3
Não
4
Não
5
Não
>5
Não
0 100.0%
5 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$78,459 Vol.
$78,459 Vol.
9 ago 2026
0
$7,720 Vol.
Sim
1
$3,319 Vol.
Não
2
$730 Vol.
Não
3
$40,545 Vol.
Não
4
$8,723 Vol.
Não
5
$16,617 Vol.
Não
>5
$804 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS recorded no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher between August 3 and 9, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for zero events. The strongest activity included a 6.3 Mw event in the Philippines and another near New Zealand, plus a 6.1 Mw quake south of the Kermadec Islands on August 5—none crossing the threshold on the moment magnitude scale. This outcome fits typical weekly variability, as M6.5+ quakes occur roughly 1–2 times per week on average worldwide but cluster irregularly. Trader consensus reflects confirmed catalog data through the resolution window, with limited upside scenarios limited to potential late revisions in preliminary magnitudes or unreported aftershocks.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
Volume
$78,459Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:45 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS recorded no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher between August 3 and 9, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for zero events. The strongest activity included a 6.3 Mw event in the Philippines and another near New Zealand, plus a 6.1 Mw quake south of the Kermadec Islands on August 5—none crossing the threshold on the moment magnitude scale. This outcome fits typical weekly variability, as M6.5+ quakes occur roughly 1–2 times per week on average worldwide but cluster irregularly. Trader consensus reflects confirmed catalog data through the resolution window, with limited upside scenarios limited to potential late revisions in preliminary magnitudes or unreported aftershocks.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$78,459Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:45 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Global seismic monitoring by the USGS recorded no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher between August 3 and 9, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for zero events. The strongest activity included a 6.3 Mw event in the Philippines and another near New Zealand, plus a 6.1 Mw quake south of the Kermadec Islands on August 5—none crossing the threshold on the moment magnitude scale. This outcome fits typical weekly variability, as M6.5+ quakes occur roughly 1–2 times per week on average worldwide but cluster irregularly. Trader consensus reflects confirmed catalog data through the resolution window, with limited upside scenarios limited to potential late revisions in preliminary magnitudes or unreported aftershocks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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