The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands 90.7% market-implied odds because its massive global audience, high-production scale, and star power position it as the clear frontrunner for Outstanding Variety Special (Live). Trader consensus reflects the event’s proven track record in the category, where similar halftime spectacles have dominated due to viewership metrics and cultural resonance that outpace awards broadcasts. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail with single-digit probabilities, as voters have historically prioritized standalone live performances over ceremony formats. An upset remains possible if another special delivers exceptional critical buzz or if Emmys voters shift toward a different high-profile live event closer to the ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEmmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)
Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny 95.3%
Os Oscars 4.9%
Os Tonys <1%
Golden Globes <1%
$62,833 Vol.
$62,833 Vol.
14 set 2026
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny
95%
Os Oscars
5%
Os Tonys
1%
Golden Globes
1%
Os Grammys
<1%
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny 95.3%
Os Oscars 4.9%
Os Tonys <1%
Golden Globes <1%
$62,833 Vol.
$62,833 Vol.
14 set 2026
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny
$49,849 Vol.
95%
Os Oscars
$6,956 Vol.
5%
Os Tonys
$2,152 Vol.
1%
Golden Globes
$2,085 Vol.
1%
Os Grammys
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands 90.7% market-implied odds because its massive global audience, high-production scale, and star power position it as the clear frontrunner for Outstanding Variety Special (Live). Trader consensus reflects the event’s proven track record in the category, where similar halftime spectacles have dominated due to viewership metrics and cultural resonance that outpace awards broadcasts. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail with single-digit probabilities, as voters have historically prioritized standalone live performances over ceremony formats. An upset remains possible if another special delivers exceptional critical buzz or if Emmys voters shift toward a different high-profile live event closer to the ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Volume
$62,833Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands 90.7% market-implied odds because its massive global audience, high-production scale, and star power position it as the clear frontrunner for Outstanding Variety Special (Live). Trader consensus reflects the event’s proven track record in the category, where similar halftime spectacles have dominated due to viewership metrics and cultural resonance that outpace awards broadcasts. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail with single-digit probabilities, as voters have historically prioritized standalone live performances over ceremony formats. An upset remains possible if another special delivers exceptional critical buzz or if Emmys voters shift toward a different high-profile live event closer to the ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,833Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands 90.7% market-implied odds because its massive global audience, high-production scale, and star power position it as the clear frontrunner for Outstanding Variety Special (Live). Trader consensus reflects the event’s proven track record in the category, where similar halftime spectacles have dominated due to viewership metrics and cultural resonance that outpace awards broadcasts. The Oscars, Tonys, Golden Globes, and Grammys trail with single-digit probabilities, as voters have historically prioritized standalone live performances over ceremony formats. An upset remains possible if another special delivers exceptional critical buzz or if Emmys voters shift toward a different high-profile live event closer to the ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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