Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$671,988 Vol.
$671,988 Vol.
10 ago 2026
<40
Não
40-64
Sim
65-89
Não
90-114
Não
115-139
Não
140-164
Não
165-189
Não
190-214
Não
215-239
Não
240+
Não
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$671,988 Vol.
$671,988 Vol.
10 ago 2026
<40
$182,552 Vol.
Não
40-64
$131,034 Vol.
Sim
65-89
$182,228 Vol.
Não
90-114
$94,107 Vol.
Não
115-139
$40,303 Vol.
Não
140-164
$15,300 Vol.
Não
165-189
$11,585 Vol.
Não
190-214
$3,948 Vol.
Não
215-239
$5,411 Vol.
Não
240+
$5,519 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$671,988Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$671,988Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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