Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts on X has driven near-unanimous trader consensus toward the 180-199 bracket for the August 21–28 window. Routine engagement with tech, policy, and cultural topics, absent major political flashpoints or extended travel, has produced comparable weekly totals in the low-to-mid 200s across recent resolved markets. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects Musk’s established cadence during non-eventful stretches. An upset into the 160-179 range would require an unusually sustained quiet period, such as focused product work at xAI or SpaceX with minimal platform interaction, though historical patterns make that outcome improbable without clear disruption.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,671,433 Vol.
$3,671,433 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
Não
140-159
Não
160-179
Não
180-199
Sim
200-219
Não
220-239
Não
240-259
Não
260-279
Não
280-299
Não
300-319
Não
320-339
Não
340-359
Não
360-379
Não
380-399
Não
400-419
Não
420-439
Não
440-459
Não
460-479
Não
480-499
Não
500+
Não
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,671,433 Vol.
$3,671,433 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
Não
140-159
Não
160-179
Não
180-199
Sim
200-219
Não
220-239
Não
240-259
Não
260-279
Não
280-299
Não
300-319
Não
320-339
Não
340-359
Não
360-379
Não
380-399
Não
400-419
Não
420-439
Não
440-459
Não
460-479
Não
480-499
Não
500+
Não
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts on X has driven near-unanimous trader consensus toward the 180-199 bracket for the August 21–28 window. Routine engagement with tech, policy, and cultural topics, absent major political flashpoints or extended travel, has produced comparable weekly totals in the low-to-mid 200s across recent resolved markets. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects Musk’s established cadence during non-eventful stretches. An upset into the 160-179 range would require an unusually sustained quiet period, such as focused product work at xAI or SpaceX with minimal platform interaction, though historical patterns make that outcome improbable without clear disruption.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions