Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Vol.
$1,106,932 Vol.
19 ago 2026
<40
Não
40-64
Não
65-89
Não
90-114
Sim
115-139
Não
140-164
Não
165-189
Não
190-214
Não
215-239
Não
240+
Não
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Vol.
$1,106,932 Vol.
19 ago 2026
<40
$134,023 Vol.
Não
40-64
$119,676 Vol.
Não
65-89
$314,275 Vol.
Não
90-114
$362,479 Vol.
Sim
115-139
$150,901 Vol.
Não
140-164
$12,515 Vol.
Não
165-189
$6,008 Vol.
Não
190-214
$2,375 Vol.
Não
215-239
$2,805 Vol.
Não
240+
$1,875 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,106,932Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,106,932Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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