Several 2026 gubernatorial contests stand out to traders as potential nail-biters because of open seats, mixed polling, and shifting state fundamentals. Iowa's race tightened after economic pressure from tariffs and a strong Democratic recruit in state Auditor Rob Sand, now rated a toss-up or tilt by forecasters. Georgia's contest for the open seat vacated by term-limited Brian Kemp draws attention given the state's recent partisan movement. Wisconsin, Ohio, and Texas feature narrow historical margins or vulnerable incumbents, while Kansas and Nevada remain competitive open or incumbent races. Late primaries, candidate consolidation, turnout in battleground areas, and any October surprises could narrow or widen expected gaps before November voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTexas 13.9%
Iowa 11.6%
Wisconsin 11.2%
Georgia 10.3%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Texas
14%
Iowa
12%
Wisconsin
11%
Georgia
10%
Ohio
10%
Kansas
8%
Nevada
6%
Flórida
6%
Michigan
4%
Oregon
4%
Alaska
4%
Arizona
3%
Colorado
2%
New Hampshire
2%
New Mexico
1%
Maine
1%
Vermont
1%
Minnesota
1%
Texas 13.9%
Iowa 11.6%
Wisconsin 11.2%
Georgia 10.3%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Texas
$1,564 Vol.
14%
Iowa
$1,475 Vol.
12%
Wisconsin
$380 Vol.
11%
Georgia
$233 Vol.
10%
Ohio
$389 Vol.
10%
Kansas
$1,057 Vol.
8%
Nevada
$1,986 Vol.
6%
Flórida
$193 Vol.
6%
Michigan
$324 Vol.
4%
Oregon
$314 Vol.
4%
Alaska
$201 Vol.
4%
Arizona
$259 Vol.
3%
Colorado
$238 Vol.
2%
New Hampshire
$250 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$189 Vol.
1%
Maine
$350 Vol.
1%
Vermont
$171 Vol.
1%
Minnesota
$209 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests stand out to traders as potential nail-biters because of open seats, mixed polling, and shifting state fundamentals. Iowa's race tightened after economic pressure from tariffs and a strong Democratic recruit in state Auditor Rob Sand, now rated a toss-up or tilt by forecasters. Georgia's contest for the open seat vacated by term-limited Brian Kemp draws attention given the state's recent partisan movement. Wisconsin, Ohio, and Texas feature narrow historical margins or vulnerable incumbents, while Kansas and Nevada remain competitive open or incumbent races. Late primaries, candidate consolidation, turnout in battleground areas, and any October surprises could narrow or widen expected gaps before November voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$9,781Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests stand out to traders as potential nail-biters because of open seats, mixed polling, and shifting state fundamentals. Iowa's race tightened after economic pressure from tariffs and a strong Democratic recruit in state Auditor Rob Sand, now rated a toss-up or tilt by forecasters. Georgia's contest for the open seat vacated by term-limited Brian Kemp draws attention given the state's recent partisan movement. Wisconsin, Ohio, and Texas feature narrow historical margins or vulnerable incumbents, while Kansas and Nevada remain competitive open or incumbent races. Late primaries, candidate consolidation, turnout in battleground areas, and any October surprises could narrow or widen expected gaps before November voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,781Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several 2026 gubernatorial contests stand out to traders as potential nail-biters because of open seats, mixed polling, and shifting state fundamentals. Iowa's race tightened after economic pressure from tariffs and a strong Democratic recruit in state Auditor Rob Sand, now rated a toss-up or tilt by forecasters. Georgia's contest for the open seat vacated by term-limited Brian Kemp draws attention given the state's recent partisan movement. Wisconsin, Ohio, and Texas feature narrow historical margins or vulnerable incumbents, while Kansas and Nevada remain competitive open or incumbent races. Late primaries, candidate consolidation, turnout in battleground areas, and any October surprises could narrow or widen expected gaps before November voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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