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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Polymarket

$20,873 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Polymarket

$20,873 Vol.

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$524 Vol.

Não

icon for Google

Google

$1,530 Vol.

Não

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$576 Vol.

Não

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$2,542 Vol.

Não

icon for ALO

ALO

$1,467 Vol.

Não

icon for CapCut: Editor de Fotos e Vídeos

CapCut: Editor de Fotos e Vídeos

$428 Vol.

Não

icon for Temu: Compre como um bilionário

Temu: Compre como um bilionário

$483 Vol.

Não

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$10,593 Vol.

Sim

icon for Claude da Anthropic

Claude da Anthropic

$2,731 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's ChatGPT app commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on May 12, driven by its current top ranking on live charts ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude (#2) and Google's Gemini (#3). A May 6 update enhanced features, including advanced image generation and cross-device sync, reignited downloads amid sustained AI assistant demand, following a GPT-5.5 Instant release that boosted usage earlier in the month. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time Sensor Tower and App Store data, with the app's ecosystem integrations solidifying its edge. Realistic challenges include hourly ranking volatility from viral surges in shopping apps like Temu or editors like CapCut, though non-AI displacement remains unlikely absent major catalysts before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$20,873
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's ChatGPT app commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on May 12, driven by its current top ranking on live charts ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude (#2) and Google's Gemini (#3). A May 6 update enhanced features, including advanced image generation and cross-device sync, reignited downloads amid sustained AI assistant demand, following a GPT-5.5 Instant release that boosted usage earlier in the month. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time Sensor Tower and App Store data, with the app's ecosystem integrations solidifying its edge. Realistic challenges include hourly ranking volatility from viral surges in shopping apps like Temu or editors like CapCut, though non-AI displacement remains unlikely absent major catalysts before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$20,873
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Google Gemini" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" has generated $20.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google Gemini" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.