@BaseRateFallacy on Polymarket

Browse

New

Trending

Popular

Liquid

Ending Soon

Competitive

Topics

Live Crypto

Live Crypto

Politics

Politics

Middle East

Middle East

Crypto

Crypto

Sports

Sports

Pop Culture

Pop Culture

Tech

Tech

AI

Trending Breaking New

Politics Sports Crypto Iran Finance Geopolitics Tech Culture Economy Weather & Science Mentions Elections

BaseRateFallacy

Joined Oct 2024·3 views

$120.66

Positions Value

$741.04

Biggest Win

415

Predictions

Current

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Markets by category and topics

Climate & SciencePredictions CryptoPrice predictions CultureTrends & predictions EarningsPredictions EconomicPredictions & forecasts ElectionForecasts & predictions FinancialForecasts & predictions GeopoliticalPredictions MentionMarkets PoliticalOdds & predictions SportsOdds & predictions TechTrends & predictions WorldTrends & predictions

Support & Social

Learn 𝕏 (Twitter)Instagram Discord TikTok News Contact us

Polymarket

Rewards APIs Leaderboard Accuracy Brand Activity Careers Press

Adventure One QSS Inc. © 2026·Privacy·Terms of Use·Help Center·Docs

Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. This international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. See our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

Home

Breaking