Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
95.7¢
99¢

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
89.5¢
98¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
46¢
53.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
66.1¢
66.5¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Iran full airspace closure by August 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
97.2¢
99.8¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
69.6¢
84.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
88.2¢
100¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
44.7¢
66.5¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
61¢
76.5¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
67.9¢
91¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
68¢
69¢

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
31.2¢
22.5¢

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
73.2¢
81¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
31.9¢
27.9¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?