US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Will anyone say "Camera" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Will Trump say "Genius" during his AI speech on July 23?

Will anyone say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?

Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 28?

Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?

Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?

Will anyone say "Enterprise" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?

Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribes" during his next video?

Will Trump say "Communist" this week?

Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?

Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?

Will Trump say "OpenAI" during his AI speech on July 23?

Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?

Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?

Will Bernie Sanders say "Gaza" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 12+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?

Jojobob46

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Any more New Orleans escapees captured before Monday?

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

Will Trump say "Marco" during May 16 Baier interview?

Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?

Will Powell say "Future" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?

動態

授權代幣交易支出

部署智慧合約錢包以啟用交易

簽署訊息以生成您的 API 金鑰

啟用交易

資金已啟用

你的帳戶需要遷移到新錢包才能繼續交易。先部署新的存款錢包，然後把資金轉過去。

升級你的帳戶

請先啟用你的資金

遷移完成

錢包仍在部署中

轉帳未完成，請重試。

根據你的預測買“是”或“否”份額。賠率會隨著其他交易者的交易即時變動。

1. 選一個預測盤口

1.逛逛我們的預測盤口

用加密貨幣、簽帳金融卡或銀行轉賬給賬號充值，然後就可以開始交易。

2.投注

隨時賣掉你的“是”或“否”份額，或者等盤口封盤後，憑贏利的份額兌換 1 美元/份。註冊賬號，幾分鐘就能完成第一筆交易。

3.兌付

排行榜

你的會話需要重置才能進行交易。請登出然後重新登入。

連線問題

，並聲明你 (i) 不是美國人；(ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限管轄區；(iii) 未使用 VPN 或其他方式規避限制。如果你不遵守這些條款，Polymarket 保留將你的錢包設為僅限關倉模式的權利。

在 Polymarket 上交易

，證明你不是美國居民，且不位於美國或任何受限地區。

如需繼續使用本網站的交易功能，請填寫

需要自我認證

，包括如果你認為收到此訊息是錯誤的。

由於可能違反我們的服務條款，你的帳戶已被設為僅限關倉模式。你可以關閉現有持倉，但無法開新倉。如需了解更多資訊，請聯繫

交易已暫停

以下地區無法進行交易。禁止使用任何手段規避或試圖規避這些限制。

僅查看模式

{count} 個訂單

贏了之後，獎金自動到賬。不需要手動操作。

自動兌換已關閉

自動兌換已開啟

自動兌換失敗

重新啟用自動兌換

自動兌換獎金

立即收款

出了點問題

你可以平掉這些已結算的持倉，確認最終虧損金額。

虧損的預測盤口

兌換失敗

此操作會合並所有符合條件的盤口持倉。

合併 ${amount} 持倉

您的獎金已準備就緒，繼續交易吧！

我剛在 @Polymarket 贏了 ${amount}！

快來和我一起，把你的預判變成真金白銀：

你的 Polymarket 錢包地址

我剛在 @Polymarket 上交易了。

來跟我對賭：

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的盈虧吧。

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的資料吧。

來看看 @Polymarket 上的這筆交易。

把 1 份“是”和 1 份“否”合併成 1 USDC。不想持倉時，這麼做能省成本。

合併份額

訂單簿

重大價格滑點

把 1 USDC 拆成 1 份“是”和 1  份“否”。這麼做能省成本，方法是先都買了，再賣掉另一邊就行

拆分份額

交易即表示你同意本使用條款，包括你不是 (i) 美國人且 (ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限地區。

若要開始使用升級後的系統交易,請在錢包中核准遷移。這是一次性操作。

完成遷移

你的 USDC.e 將以 1:1 比例轉換為 pUSD。零手續費,涵蓋所有持倉,可全額贖回。

餘額遷移

請登入你的帳戶,讓我們遷移你的餘額並核准新合約。

請登入以繼續

你的餘額與持倉已完成遷移。一切就緒。

我們在底層做了一些調整,讓交易更穩定可靠。