US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score?

Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022?

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022?

MLB: Who will win New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 16, 7:20 PM ET?

Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?

Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31?

Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6?

538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?

Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?

Will Donovan Mitchell get traded to the Knicks? 

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4?

Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?

Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?

Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022?

Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by August 31?

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022?

Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Will @kanyewest tweet again before November?

Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?

Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?

Iran military response before October?

Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30?

2022 Wimbledon Championships: Maxime Cressy vs Jack Sock

itstomekk

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?

Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021?

Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021?

Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? 

Who will win 9th round of FIDE Chess.com Grand Swiss Open: Alireza Firouzja vs. Fabiano Caruana?

Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)?

Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021?

動態

授權代幣交易支出

部署智慧合約錢包以啟用交易

簽署訊息以生成您的 API 金鑰

啟用交易

資金已啟用

你的帳戶需要遷移到新錢包才能繼續交易。先部署新的存款錢包，然後把資金轉過去。

升級你的帳戶

請先啟用你的資金

遷移完成

錢包仍在部署中

轉帳未完成，請重試。

根據你的預測買“是”或“否”份額。賠率會隨著其他交易者的交易即時變動。

1. 選一個預測盤口

1.逛逛我們的預測盤口

用加密貨幣、簽帳金融卡或銀行轉賬給賬號充值，然後就可以開始交易。

2.投注

隨時賣掉你的“是”或“否”份額，或者等盤口封盤後，憑贏利的份額兌換 1 美元/份。註冊賬號，幾分鐘就能完成第一筆交易。

3.兌付

排行榜

你的會話需要重置才能進行交易。請登出然後重新登入。

連線問題

，並聲明你 (i) 不是美國人；(ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限管轄區；(iii) 未使用 VPN 或其他方式規避限制。如果你不遵守這些條款，Polymarket 保留將你的錢包設為僅限關倉模式的權利。

在 Polymarket 上交易

，證明你不是美國居民，且不位於美國或任何受限地區。

如需繼續使用本網站的交易功能，請填寫

需要自我認證

，包括如果你認為收到此訊息是錯誤的。

由於可能違反我們的服務條款，你的帳戶已被設為僅限關倉模式。你可以關閉現有持倉，但無法開新倉。如需了解更多資訊，請聯繫

交易已暫停

以下地區無法進行交易。禁止使用任何手段規避或試圖規避這些限制。

僅查看模式

{count} 個訂單

贏了之後，獎金自動到賬。不需要手動操作。

自動兌換已關閉

自動兌換已開啟

自動兌換失敗

重新啟用自動兌換

自動兌換獎金

立即收款

出了點問題

你可以平掉這些已結算的持倉，確認最終虧損金額。

虧損的預測盤口

兌換失敗

此操作會合並所有符合條件的盤口持倉。

合併 ${amount} 持倉

您的獎金已準備就緒，繼續交易吧！

我剛在 @Polymarket 贏了 ${amount}！

快來和我一起，把你的預判變成真金白銀：

你的 Polymarket 錢包地址

我剛在 @Polymarket 上交易了。

來跟我對賭：

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的盈虧吧。

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的資料吧。

來看看 @Polymarket 上的這筆交易。

把 1 份“是”和 1 份“否”合併成 1 USDC。不想持倉時，這麼做能省成本。

合併份額

訂單簿

重大價格滑點

把 1 USDC 拆成 1 份“是”和 1  份“否”。這麼做能省成本，方法是先都買了，再賣掉另一邊就行

拆分份額

交易即表示你同意本使用條款，包括你不是 (i) 美國人且 (ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限地區。

若要開始使用升級後的系統交易,請在錢包中核准遷移。這是一次性操作。

完成遷移

你的 USDC.e 將以 1:1 比例轉換為 pUSD。零手續費,涵蓋所有持倉,可全額贖回。

餘額遷移

請登入你的帳戶,讓我們遷移你的餘額並核准新合約。

請登入以繼續

你的餘額與持倉已完成遷移。一切就緒。

我們在底層做了一些調整,讓交易更穩定可靠。