Presidential Race predictions & odds

Elections·Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$707M Vol.

$92.1K today

$60M Liq.

1,033

Ends in about 2 years

21%

JD Vance

$707M Vol.

$92.1K today

$60M Liq.

1,033

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·US Election

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

$1.0K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

27%

$1.0K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Elections·Global Elections

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$2M Vol.

$489K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

65%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$489K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$83.9K Vol.

$390K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

90%

J.D. Vance

$83.9K Vol.

$390K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·Gretchen Whitmer

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

$13.9K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

22%

$13.9K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Elections·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$768K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1M Vol.

$768K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Depec US Elections

Closest Governor's Race?

$19.8K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

14%

Ohio

$19.8K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Governor Races

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

$8.6K Vol.

$169 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

66%

$8.6K Vol.

$169 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$707M Vol.

$154K today

$52M Liq.

438

Ends in about 2 years

51%

J.D. Vance

$707M Vol.

$154K today

$52M Liq.

438

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Depec US Elections

Closest Senate Race?

$45.3K Vol.

$165K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

14%

Iowa

$45.3K Vol.

$165K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$75M Liq.

823

Ends in about 2 years

19%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$75M Liq.

823

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Democratic Presidential Nomination

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

$13.3K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

14%

Cory Booker

$13.3K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·US Election

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

$109 Vol.

$88 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

37%

$109 Vol.

$88 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Elections·President

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

$10.3K Vol.

$66.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

39%

J.D. Vance

$10.3K Vol.

$66.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·Margin Of Victory

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

$4.3K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

43%

Michigan

$4.3K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·President

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

$97.8K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$97.8K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Elections·Midterms

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner

$48.4K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

98%

Ed Markey (D)

$48.4K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Trump

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

$33.6K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$33.6K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Michigan Senate Election Winner

$851K Vol.

$230K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

67%

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

$851K Vol.

$230K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Africa

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

$128K Vol.

$55.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

68%

Bola Tinubu

$128K Vol.

$55.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Presidential Race.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Presidential Race that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the next elected US president be a woman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Presidential Race predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Presidential Race shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Presidential Race prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Presidential Race prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Presidential Race predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Presidential Race prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Presidential Race markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Presidential Race prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Presidential Race predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Presidential Race odds?

Can I track Presidential Race predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Presidential Race markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Presidential Race prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Presidential Race markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Presidential Race prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Presidential Race predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Presidential Race odds?

Can I track Presidential Race predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Presidential Race markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Presidential Race predictions & odds