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Conservative predictions & odds

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B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

44%

Caroline Elliott

$25.5K Vol.

$64.9K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

46%

300+

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

25%

$136K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

13%

$734 Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

20%

$3.1K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

94%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$14M Vol.

$66.7K today

$53.5K Liq.

18

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

47%

Reform

$7.3K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Moderates

$85.5K Vol.

$85.7K Liq.

10

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

72%

Labour

$950 Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

95%

Centro Democrático (CD)

$105K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

9

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

83%

Plaid Cymru

$39.3K Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 21 days

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$89.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 21 days

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

34%

Mark Smith

$7.3K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

88%

Eric Conroy

$15.6K Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

95%

Jeff Hurd

$8.1K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

45%

Catalina Lauf

$20.8K Vol.

$44.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

85%

Jim Baird

$1.4K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$616K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

89%

Tom Sell

$66.8K Vol.

$66.7K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Derek Merrin

$8.6K Vol.

$36.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Conservative that lets you track or trade on predictions like “B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Conservative predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.