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Conservative predictions & odds

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B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

65%

Caroline Elliott

$137K Vol.

$121K Liq.

5

Ends in 24 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

98%

300+

$13.0K Vol.

$65.6K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

1%

$61.3K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

24

Ends in about 2 months

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

15%

$147K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

16%

$4.6K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

19%

$1.2K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

96%

Reform

$311K Vol.

$55.0K today

$76.9K Liq.

5

Ends in about 8 hours

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

90%

Labour

$137K Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

2

Ends in about 8 hours

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

97%

Social Democrats

$112K Vol.

$128K Liq.

12

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

89%

Plaid Cymru

$207K Vol.

$127K Liq.

4

Ends in about 8 hours

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

100%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$144K Liq.

9

Ends in about 8 hours

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

22%

May 31

$459 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

18%

May 31

$132K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

10

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

68%

Mark Smith

$12.3K Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Eric Conroy

$18.2K Vol.

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

96%

Jeff Hurd

$8.8K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$53.8K Vol.

$53.3K today

$22.5K Liq.

2

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

42%

Catalina Lauf

$22.7K Vol.

$56.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

83%

June 30

$27.1K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

Jim Baird

$10.1K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Conservative that lets you track or trade on predictions like “B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Scottish National Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Conservative predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.