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Agreement predictions & odds

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US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

58%

$23.3K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

12%

June 30

$770K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

116

NFL and NFLRA to reach CBA agreement by May 31, 2026?

NFL and NFLRA to reach CBA agreement by May 31, 2026?

90%

$213 Vol.

$31 Liq.

Ends in 22 days

New WNBA CBA agreement by...?

New WNBA CBA agreement by...?

96%

June 30

$18.4K Vol.

$310 Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

36%

Somaliland

$567K Vol.

$94.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

7%

June 30

$591K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

38

Ends in about 2 months

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

62%

$1M Vol.

$78.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

19%

$382K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

34%

$2M Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

2%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$262K Vol.

$42.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

13%

June 30

$149K Vol.

$181 Liq.

29

Ends in about 2 months

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

21%

$8.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

5%

May 31

$147K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

22

Ends in 21 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

31%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$462K Vol.

$116K today

$160K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes

$15M Vol.

5,422

Ends in 8 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

7%

$146K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

29%

Canada

$268K Vol.

$157K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

74%

Cursor

$18M Vol.

$41.4K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes

$141M Vol.

$134M today

1

Ends in 21 days

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

87%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 145 active markets for Agreement that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x China tariff agreement by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $180.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which companies will be acquired before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Agreement predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.