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US Election predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$4M today

$54M Liq.

684

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$542M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

863

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$570M Vol.

$2M today

$29M Liq.

359

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

55%

Tom Steyer

$11M Vol.

$200K today

$2M Liq.

32

Ends in 7 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$153K today

$542K Liq.

151

Ends in 7 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

60%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$253K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

92%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$266K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$492K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$338K Liq.

35

Ends in 7 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

53%

Nithya Raman

$922K Vol.

$182K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

27%

Bernadette Wilson

$833K Vol.

$264K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$795K Liq.

67

Ends in over 2 years

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

$72.1K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

27%

Pass 3-6%

$18.3K Vol.

$62.2K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

87%

Republican

$16.2K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

Below 190

$208K Vol.

$137K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

48%

Mallory McMorrow

$435K Vol.

$146K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$240K Liq.

6

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

79%

Republican

$25.8K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

26%

1.5–1.8M

$43.5K Vol.

$54.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 149 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.