The closely contested Group D features the United States as slight favorites at 38.5% implied probability, with Türkiye right behind at 35.5%, reflecting home-soil advantages and squad depth for the co-hosts alongside the Turks’ potent attack and strong recent qualification momentum after a 24-year absence. Paraguay at 18.5% and Australia at 9.8% remain in contention through defensive organization and counterattacking threats, creating a balanced field where any team can secure one of the top-two spots. Recent U.S. friendlies exposed vulnerabilities against top European sides, while Türkiye’s late surge and Paraguay’s consistent CONMEBOL form keep the race tight heading into the June 12 opener.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Group D Winner
World Cup Group D Winner
USA 39%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 19%
Australia 9.8%
$74,243 Wol.
$74,243 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
39%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
19%
Australia
10%
USA 39%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 19%
Australia 9.8%
$74,243 Wol.
$74,243 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
$17,867 Wol.
39%
Türkiye
$29,446 Wol.
36%
Paraguay
$19,208 Wol.
19%
Australia
$7,724 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Group D features the United States as slight favorites at 38.5% implied probability, with Türkiye right behind at 35.5%, reflecting home-soil advantages and squad depth for the co-hosts alongside the Turks’ potent attack and strong recent qualification momentum after a 24-year absence. Paraguay at 18.5% and Australia at 9.8% remain in contention through defensive organization and counterattacking threats, creating a balanced field where any team can secure one of the top-two spots. Recent U.S. friendlies exposed vulnerabilities against top European sides, while Türkiye’s late surge and Paraguay’s consistent CONMEBOL form keep the race tight heading into the June 12 opener.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$74,243Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Group D features the United States as slight favorites at 38.5% implied probability, with Türkiye right behind at 35.5%, reflecting home-soil advantages and squad depth for the co-hosts alongside the Turks’ potent attack and strong recent qualification momentum after a 24-year absence. Paraguay at 18.5% and Australia at 9.8% remain in contention through defensive organization and counterattacking threats, creating a balanced field where any team can secure one of the top-two spots. Recent U.S. friendlies exposed vulnerabilities against top European sides, while Türkiye’s late surge and Paraguay’s consistent CONMEBOL form keep the race tight heading into the June 12 opener.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$74,243Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested Group D features the United States as slight favorites at 38.5% implied probability, with Türkiye right behind at 35.5%, reflecting home-soil advantages and squad depth for the co-hosts alongside the Turks’ potent attack and strong recent qualification momentum after a 24-year absence. Paraguay at 18.5% and Australia at 9.8% remain in contention through defensive organization and counterattacking threats, creating a balanced field where any team can secure one of the top-two spots. Recent U.S. friendlies exposed vulnerabilities against top European sides, while Türkiye’s late surge and Paraguay’s consistent CONMEBOL form keep the race tight heading into the June 12 opener.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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