Recent EIA data showed U.S. commercial crude oil inventories surging 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million in the week ended August 7, the largest weekly build in over three years, driven by a sharp drop in exports to 3.06 million barrels per day and higher net imports. This reversed prior draws amid elevated refinery runs and strong international demand for U.S. crude. EIA forecasts maintain inventories below the five-year average through year-end due to export strength and limited imports, though near-term volatility hinges on the August 19 and 26 Weekly Petroleum Status Reports. Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East support broader market tightness, yet the short window to August 28 resolution leaves room for data surprises to shift aggregated trader sentiment reflected in market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
$52,393 Wol.
285M
70%
270M
2%
255M
1%
240M
1%
225M
1%
$52,393 Wol.
285M
70%
270M
2%
255M
1%
240M
1%
225M
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent EIA data showed U.S. commercial crude oil inventories surging 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million in the week ended August 7, the largest weekly build in over three years, driven by a sharp drop in exports to 3.06 million barrels per day and higher net imports. This reversed prior draws amid elevated refinery runs and strong international demand for U.S. crude. EIA forecasts maintain inventories below the five-year average through year-end due to export strength and limited imports, though near-term volatility hinges on the August 19 and 26 Weekly Petroleum Status Reports. Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East support broader market tightness, yet the short window to August 28 resolution leaves room for data surprises to shift aggregated trader sentiment reflected in market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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