Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?
Polityka·Bliski Wschód

Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

icon for Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?
Polityka·Bliski Wschód

Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

Ended: Mar 31

Ended: Mar 31

>99% szansa
Polymarket

$212,451 Wol.

>99% szansa
Polymarket

$212,451 Wol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings.

Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Wolumen
$212,451
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 28, 2026, 2:44 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings.

Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Wolumen
$212,451
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 28, 2026, 2:44 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

Powiązane

icon for Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?

24%
icon for Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?

Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?

73%
icon for Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?

Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?

6%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 100% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 100¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?" wygenerował $212.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 28, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?" to 100% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 100% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.