US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill gas hit __ by end of August?
Will gas hit __ by end of August?
$14,934 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
No
↑ $4.75
No
↑ $4.50
No
↑ $4.25
No
↓ $3.90
No
↓ $3.70
No
↓ $3.50
No
↓ $3.25
No
↓ $3.00
No
↓ $2.50
No
$14,934 Wol.
↑ $5.00
$2,674 Wol.
No
↑ $4.75
$692 Wol.
No
↑ $4.50
$3,737 Wol.
No
↑ $4.25
$2,037 Wol.
No
↓ $3.90
$786 Wol.
No
↓ $3.70
$2,112 Wol.
No
↓ $3.50
$690 Wol.
No
↓ $3.25
$761 Wol.
No
↓ $3.00
$951 Wol.
No
↓ $2.50
$494 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,934Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Wolumen
$14,934Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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