Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in 2026, with the Fed funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and the ECB deposit facility anchored at 2.00%. Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have pushed euro-area energy prices higher, lifting inflation projections and prompting ECB officials to signal potential rate hikes later in the year, while the Fed holds amid mixed U.S. growth and inflation data. This narrowing rate differential supports euro strength, though persistent U.S. dollar safe-haven demand and any resolution of energy shocks could limit gains. Traders are closely watching June central bank meetings, incoming CPI and growth releases, and Treasury yield movements for signals on the policy path.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$75,112 Wol.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
17%
↑ 1.26
24%
↑ 1.24
56%
↑ 1.22
51%
↑ 1.20
73%
↓ 1.14
68%
↓ 1.12
39%
↓ 1.10
24%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
8%
$75,112 Wol.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
17%
↑ 1.26
24%
↑ 1.24
56%
↑ 1.22
51%
↑ 1.20
73%
↓ 1.14
68%
↓ 1.12
39%
↓ 1.10
24%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
8%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in 2026, with the Fed funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and the ECB deposit facility anchored at 2.00%. Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have pushed euro-area energy prices higher, lifting inflation projections and prompting ECB officials to signal potential rate hikes later in the year, while the Fed holds amid mixed U.S. growth and inflation data. This narrowing rate differential supports euro strength, though persistent U.S. dollar safe-haven demand and any resolution of energy shocks could limit gains. Traders are closely watching June central bank meetings, incoming CPI and growth releases, and Treasury yield movements for signals on the policy path.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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