Apple’s established annual cadence of introducing a new iPhone generation each fall underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports, chip production timelines at TSMC, and Apple’s September 9 event confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models reinforce trader expectations that the broader 18 series will reach the market before year-end, consistent with patterns since the iPhone 11 era. While a split launch has pushed the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027 amid memory constraints and lineup expansion, the Pro variants already announced satisfy the core resolution criteria for most traders. Extreme scenarios such as major component shortages or regulatory blocks remain possible but lack supporting evidence at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
>99% szansa
$235,398 Wol.
$235,398 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
>99% szansa
$235,398 Wol.
$235,398 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established annual cadence of introducing a new iPhone generation each fall underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports, chip production timelines at TSMC, and Apple’s September 9 event confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models reinforce trader expectations that the broader 18 series will reach the market before year-end, consistent with patterns since the iPhone 11 era. While a split launch has pushed the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027 amid memory constraints and lineup expansion, the Pro variants already announced satisfy the core resolution criteria for most traders. Extreme scenarios such as major component shortages or regulatory blocks remain possible but lack supporting evidence at this stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$235,398Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established annual cadence of introducing a new iPhone generation each fall underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports, chip production timelines at TSMC, and Apple’s September 9 event confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models reinforce trader expectations that the broader 18 series will reach the market before year-end, consistent with patterns since the iPhone 11 era. While a split launch has pushed the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027 amid memory constraints and lineup expansion, the Pro variants already announced satisfy the core resolution criteria for most traders. Extreme scenarios such as major component shortages or regulatory blocks remain possible but lack supporting evidence at this stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$235,398Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Apple’s established annual cadence of introducing a new iPhone generation each fall underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports, chip production timelines at TSMC, and Apple’s September 9 event confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models reinforce trader expectations that the broader 18 series will reach the market before year-end, consistent with patterns since the iPhone 11 era. While a split launch has pushed the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027 amid memory constraints and lineup expansion, the Pro variants already announced satisfy the core resolution criteria for most traders. Extreme scenarios such as major component shortages or regulatory blocks remain possible but lack supporting evidence at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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