**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<1% szansa
$56,848 Wol.
$56,848 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1% szansa
$56,848 Wol.
$56,848 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$56,848Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$56,848Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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