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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$422,426 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$422,426 Wol.

Polymarket

Donald Brodie

$1,220 Wol.

28%

Ryan Salame

$29,655 Wol.

24%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Wol.

21%

Daniel Penny

$447 Wol.

21%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Wol.

17%

Roger Stone

$3,808 Wol.

15%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Wol.

14%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Wol.

14%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Wol.

10%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Wol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Wol.

9%

Bob Menendez

$295 Wol.

8%

Martin Shkreli

$29,723 Wol.

8%

Julian Assange

$3,062 Wol.

6%

Young Thug

$4,417 Wol.

6%

Nicolas Maduro

$9,491 Wol.

6%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,695 Wol.

6%

Himself

$12,576 Wol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,479 Wol.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,570 Wol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Wol.

5%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,641 Wol.

4%

Andrew Tate

$236 Wol.

4%

Diddy

$26,825 Wol.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,585 Wol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Wol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Wol.

2%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Wol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already granted executive clemency to thousands since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for most January 6 defendants on inauguration day and subsequent grants to figures tied to 2020 election challenges, former officials, and other allies. Trader focus on specific names for additional pardons before 2027 centers on patterns of relief for political supporters, those convicted in high-profile cases, and individuals with personal or campaign ties, consistent with the president's broad Article II authority. Recent actions, such as the June 2026 pardon of Stephen E. Buyer and earlier grants involving restitution relief, illustrate ongoing use of this power. Scheduled Senate activity, public statements from the administration, and the pardon czar process could influence future grants, while procedural timelines through the end of 2026 remain key variables for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$422,426
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already granted executive clemency to thousands since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for most January 6 defendants on inauguration day and subsequent grants to figures tied to 2020 election challenges, former officials, and other allies. Trader focus on specific names for additional pardons before 2027 centers on patterns of relief for political supporters, those convicted in high-profile cases, and individuals with personal or campaign ties, consistent with the president's broad Article II authority. Recent actions, such as the June 2026 pardon of Stephen E. Buyer and earlier grants involving restitution relief, illustrate ongoing use of this power. Scheduled Senate activity, public statements from the administration, and the pardon czar process could influence future grants, while procedural timelines through the end of 2026 remain key variables for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$422,426
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 28 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Donald Brodie" z 28%, za nim "Ryan Salame" z 24%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 28¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 28% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" wygenerował $422.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 18, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?", przeglądaj 28 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" jest "Donald Brodie" z 28%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 28% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Ryan Salame" z 24%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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