Legal proceedings and federal investigations continue to shape expectations around high-profile arrests before 2027, with trader focus on figures tied to prior administrations or state-level enforcement roles. Ongoing Department of Justice reviews, potential indictments in national security or financial cases, and immigration enforcement trends under current policy priorities represent key variables. No major new court rulings or charging decisions affecting leading candidates have emerged in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on case timelines, prosecutorial discretion, and any legislative or executive actions that could accelerate or delay proceedings. Scheduled hearings and appeals in existing matters remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$107,380 Wol.
John Brennan
49%
Mahmoud Khalil
45%
John Kerry
42%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
26%
Letitia James
26%
James Clapper
20%
Brandon Johnson
18%
James Comey
13%
Tom Homan
17%
Lee Jun-seok
12%
Adam Schiff
11%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Anthony Fauci
9%
Hillary Clinton
7%
Kash Patel
7%
Candace Owens
7%
Susan Rice
6%
Barack Obama
6%
Gavin Newsom
6%
Bill Clinton
5%
Pam Bondi
5%
Joe Biden
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
38%
Lisa Cook
50%
$107,380 Wol.
John Brennan
$6,367 Wol.
49%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,154 Wol.
45%
John Kerry
$73 Wol.
42%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$7,233 Wol.
26%
Letitia James
$1,317 Wol.
26%
James Clapper
$2,467 Wol.
20%
Brandon Johnson
$1,887 Wol.
18%
James Comey
$9,214 Wol.
13%
Tom Homan
$27,688 Wol.
17%
Lee Jun-seok
$366 Wol.
12%
Adam Schiff
$5,984 Wol.
11%
Loretta Lynch
$351 Wol.
11%
Anthony Fauci
$6,256 Wol.
9%
Hillary Clinton
$13,175 Wol.
7%
Kash Patel
$153 Wol.
7%
Candace Owens
$257 Wol.
7%
Susan Rice
$212 Wol.
6%
Barack Obama
$946 Wol.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$18,451 Wol.
6%
Bill Clinton
$331 Wol.
5%
Pam Bondi
$1,487 Wol.
5%
Joe Biden
$1,390 Wol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$255 Wol.
38%
Lisa Cook
$363 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legal proceedings and federal investigations continue to shape expectations around high-profile arrests before 2027, with trader focus on figures tied to prior administrations or state-level enforcement roles. Ongoing Department of Justice reviews, potential indictments in national security or financial cases, and immigration enforcement trends under current policy priorities represent key variables. No major new court rulings or charging decisions affecting leading candidates have emerged in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on case timelines, prosecutorial discretion, and any legislative or executive actions that could accelerate or delay proceedings. Scheduled hearings and appeals in existing matters remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$107,380Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legal proceedings and federal investigations continue to shape expectations around high-profile arrests before 2027, with trader focus on figures tied to prior administrations or state-level enforcement roles. Ongoing Department of Justice reviews, potential indictments in national security or financial cases, and immigration enforcement trends under current policy priorities represent key variables. No major new court rulings or charging decisions affecting leading candidates have emerged in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on case timelines, prosecutorial discretion, and any legislative or executive actions that could accelerate or delay proceedings. Scheduled hearings and appeals in existing matters remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$107,380Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legal proceedings and federal investigations continue to shape expectations around high-profile arrests before 2027, with trader focus on figures tied to prior administrations or state-level enforcement roles. Ongoing Department of Justice reviews, potential indictments in national security or financial cases, and immigration enforcement trends under current policy priorities represent key variables. No major new court rulings or charging decisions affecting leading candidates have emerged in recent weeks, leaving outcomes dependent on case timelines, prosecutorial discretion, and any legislative or executive actions that could accelerate or delay proceedings. Scheduled hearings and appeals in existing matters remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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