US-Iran diplomacy remains in a fragile post-conflict phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which ended active hostilities, reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launched a 60-day window for broader talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and regional issues. Mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, initial high-level sessions in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical committees, but implementation faltered with mutual violations, renewed strikes, and public recriminations through July and into September. Iranian officials continue urging compliance with the interim framework while the Trump administration signals openness to further discussions alongside pressure tactics. No new formal rounds have been confirmed since midsummer, leaving attendance by senior US or Iranian figures—such as envoys, vice presidents, or foreign ministers—dependent on de-escalation signals, mediator progress, and resolution of sticking points like inspections and asset releases before year-end. Ongoing Lebanon-related tensions and domestic political calendars add layers of uncertainty to any resumption.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$396,698 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Steve Witkoff
32%
Abbas Araghchi
28%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
27%
Jared Kushner
27%
J.D. Vance
25%
Kazem Gharibabadi
24%
Ishaq Dar
18%
Nick Stewart
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
17%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
12%
Mohammed bin Salman
12%
Rafael Grossi
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Donald Trump
6%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
$396,698 Wol.
Steve Witkoff
$26,232 Wol.
32%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,176 Wol.
28%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$17,139 Wol.
27%
Jared Kushner
$22,322 Wol.
27%
J.D. Vance
$27,350 Wol.
25%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$16,624 Wol.
24%
Ishaq Dar
$23,360 Wol.
18%
Nick Stewart
$12,950 Wol.
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$17,270 Wol.
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$31,077 Wol.
17%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$40,153 Wol.
12%
Mohammed bin Salman
$5,526 Wol.
12%
Rafael Grossi
$32,194 Wol.
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$24,252 Wol.
10%
Marco Rubio
$13,732 Wol.
7%
Esmail Qaani
$11,490 Wol.
6%
Donald Trump
$9,179 Wol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$20,123 Wol.
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
$14,361 Wol.
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$22,187 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains in a fragile post-conflict phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which ended active hostilities, reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launched a 60-day window for broader talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and regional issues. Mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, initial high-level sessions in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical committees, but implementation faltered with mutual violations, renewed strikes, and public recriminations through July and into September. Iranian officials continue urging compliance with the interim framework while the Trump administration signals openness to further discussions alongside pressure tactics. No new formal rounds have been confirmed since midsummer, leaving attendance by senior US or Iranian figures—such as envoys, vice presidents, or foreign ministers—dependent on de-escalation signals, mediator progress, and resolution of sticking points like inspections and asset releases before year-end. Ongoing Lebanon-related tensions and domestic political calendars add layers of uncertainty to any resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$396,698Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains in a fragile post-conflict phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which ended active hostilities, reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launched a 60-day window for broader talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and regional issues. Mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, initial high-level sessions in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical committees, but implementation faltered with mutual violations, renewed strikes, and public recriminations through July and into September. Iranian officials continue urging compliance with the interim framework while the Trump administration signals openness to further discussions alongside pressure tactics. No new formal rounds have been confirmed since midsummer, leaving attendance by senior US or Iranian figures—such as envoys, vice presidents, or foreign ministers—dependent on de-escalation signals, mediator progress, and resolution of sticking points like inspections and asset releases before year-end. Ongoing Lebanon-related tensions and domestic political calendars add layers of uncertainty to any resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$396,698Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains in a fragile post-conflict phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which ended active hostilities, reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launched a 60-day window for broader talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and regional issues. Mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, initial high-level sessions in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical committees, but implementation faltered with mutual violations, renewed strikes, and public recriminations through July and into September. Iranian officials continue urging compliance with the interim framework while the Trump administration signals openness to further discussions alongside pressure tactics. No new formal rounds have been confirmed since midsummer, leaving attendance by senior US or Iranian figures—such as envoys, vice presidents, or foreign ministers—dependent on de-escalation signals, mediator progress, and resolution of sticking points like inspections and asset releases before year-end. Ongoing Lebanon-related tensions and domestic political calendars add layers of uncertainty to any resumption.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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