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Polityka·Prawybory

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Polityka·Prawybory

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$235,170 Wol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$235,170 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$12,931 Wol.

98%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$16,536 Wol.

86%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$4,405 Wol.

82%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$3,064 Wol.

54%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$41,806 Wol.

37%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$851 Wol.

27%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$66,649 Wol.

27%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$3,221 Wol.

4%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$3,829 Wol.

4%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$13,678 Wol.

3%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$6,984 Wol.

3%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$240 Wol.

2%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$156 Wol.

2%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$2,427 Wol.

2%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$1,938 Wol.

2%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$39,011 Wol.

1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$13,365 Wol.

1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$1,231 Wol.

1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$171 Wol.

1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$2,676 Wol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary uses a blanket ballot in which the four highest vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election. Seventeen candidates are competing for the open seat left by term-limited Republican incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich in a clear lead near 40 percent, with Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop clustered in the mid-teens and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also showing measurable support. Early in-person and absentee voting began August 3, with roughly 10,000 absentee requests filed. Campaigns have collectively raised nearly $9 million, with Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins posting the strongest in-state small-dollar totals. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these surveys, assigning the highest implied probabilities to Begich and the next tier of established names. No major late developments have altered the field since filing closed in June.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$235,170
Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary uses a blanket ballot in which the four highest vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election. Seventeen candidates are competing for the open seat left by term-limited Republican incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich in a clear lead near 40 percent, with Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop clustered in the mid-teens and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also showing measurable support. Early in-person and absentee voting began August 3, with roughly 10,000 absentee requests filed. Campaigns have collectively raised nearly $9 million, with Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins posting the strongest in-state small-dollar totals. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these surveys, assigning the highest implied probabilities to Begich and the next tier of established names. No major late developments have altered the field since filing closed in June.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$235,170
Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 20 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Tom Begich" z 98%, za nim "Bernadette Wilson" z 86%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 98¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 98% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" wygenerował $235.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 10, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?", przeglądaj 20 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" jest "Tom Begich" z 98%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 98% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Bernadette Wilson" z 86%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.